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Steel Industry in Brazil - Forecast

Steel Monitor

  • August 2011
  • 11 pages

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  • Segment Coverage

    Metal Manufacturin...  

    Metal Mining  

    Steel  

    Metal And Mineral  

    Building Material  

    Metal Material  

    Construction Mater...  

    Chemical And Mater...  

  • Geographic Coverage

    Brazil  

    World  

    China  

    United States  

    South America  

  • Type of data

    Supply  

    Forecast  

    Demand  

  • Steel monitor 1
  • BRAZIL 1
  • MINING & STEEL 1
  • Imports through the roof 1
  • Flat imports hit 22% of domestic apparent consumption in July 1
  • Bearish on flat steel on possible price cuts 1
  • Headwinds on long steel in Brazil 1
  • Positive figures for longs 2
  • .so does Brazil. Too much supply; where is the discipline? 2
  • Global steel production slightly down 2
  • China continues to be a net exporter. 2
  • Brazilian Steel Data 3
  • World Steel Data 5
  • World crude steel production dropped 6
  • Vale PN spread over Bradespar PN 7
  • CSN ON spread over Gerdau PN 7
  • Usiminas PN spread over Gerdau PN 7
  • Usiminas ON spread over Usiminas PN 7
  • 720d Ticker Current 15d 30d 180d 360d 1
  • Source: Bloomberg, Espírito Santo Investment Bank Research for estimates.
  • Priced as at 29/Aug/11. *ADRs. 1
  • figure was more than offset by: (i) a sharp hike in flat steel imports; (ii)
  • signs 1
  • CHINESE STEEL NET EXPORTS - MONTHLY AVERAGE (M TONS) 2
  • TABLE 1: STEEL IN BRAZIL - JULY 2011 PERFORMANCE ('000 TONS) 3
  • TABLE 2: DOMESTIC SALES - FLAT STEEL ('000 TONS) 3
  • TABLE 3: DOMESTIC SALES - LONG STEEL ('000 TONS) 3
  • TABLE 4: APPARENT CONSUMPTION - FLAT STEEL ('000 TONS) 4
  • TABLE 5: APPARENT CONSUMPTION - LONG STEEL ('000 TONS) 4
  • TABLE 6: DOMESTIC SALES AS A % OF TOTAL SALES - FLAT STEEL 4
  • TABLE 7: DOMESTIC SALES AS A % OF TOTAL SALES - LONG STEEL 4
  • TABLE 8: FLAT STEEL DISTRIBUTORS' INVENTORIES 4
  • TABLE 9: WORLD CRUDE STEEL PRODUCTION ('000 TONS) 5
  • TABLE 10: CRUDE STEEL PRODUCTION PER REGION ('000 TONS) 5
  • TABLE 11: TOTAL 6
  • TABLE 12: TOTAL EX-CHINA 6
  • TABLE 13: CHINA 6
  • TABLE 14: BRAZIL 6
  • TABLE 15: WORLD STEEL CAPACITY UTILIZATION RATE 6
  • Usiminas PN spread over CSN ON 7
  • Ratings Distribution 8

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