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The future of the Bicycle Industry

People for Ecologically Sustainabletransport

  • February 2011
  • 23 pages

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  • Segment Coverage

    Transportation  

    Bicycle  

    Heavy Industry  

  • Geographic Coverage

    Japan  

    Australia  

    China  

    Europe  

    Asia  

    United States  

    Netherlands  

  • PEOPLE FOR ECOLOGICALLY SUSTAINABLETRANSPORT 1
  • Submission by PEST "People for Ecologically Sustainable Transport" in response
  • to the National Road safety Strategy 1
  • Prepared by Alan A. Parker February 2011 1
  • SUMMARY 1
  • 1. History of electric bicycle legislation in Australia 2
  • 2. pedelecs are safe and used in countries with overall low road death rates. 3
  • 2.1 HOW TO MEASURE RISKS? 3
  • 2.2 FATALITIES PER 100 000 POPULATION. 3
  • 3. It is reasonable to assume that pedelecs are as safe as bicycles. 4
  • 2.3 FATALITIES PER BILLION VEHICLE -KILOMETRES. 4
  • 2.4 FATALITIES PER 10 000 REGISTERED VEHICLES. 4
  • 4. This submission focuses on road safety in the Netherlands 5
  • 6. Model Australia Road Rules enacted the ban on pedelecs 8
  • FIGURE 4 9
  • 7. Solar power assisted pedelec in historical perspective 1900- 2006 10
  • FIG 7 11
  • 8. Pedelecs enlarge public transport catchment areas, making cross suburban
  • travel easier across radiating rail and express bus routes. 12
  • 9. Japan's energy concerns creates energy efficient transport . 13
  • 10. In 1990 Japan's energy policies produces the solar pedelec. 14
  • 11. The oil conserving role of solar powered pedelecs in Australia 17
  • 12. Four Austrlian niche markets that need to to grow by 2016 19
  • 15. REFERENCES 20
  • 13. Conclusion 20
  • EXTRA ENERGY TEST REPORT (2007) 21
  • WEINERT, JONATHAN X CHAKTAN MA XINMIAO YANG CHRISTOPHER R. CHERRY (2008) 23
  • Figure 1. China: road death rates and growth of road vehicle population. 6
  • Figure 2 shows the rapid growth of the electric bike and pedelec world market 7
  • Figure 3. Japanese pedelec with ladies frame. Note the front wheel motor and
  • small battery 8
  • FIGURE 5 BICYCLE AND ELECTRIC BICYCLE PRODUCTION IN JAPAN AND CHINA 10
  • 7. The mass production of electric-bikes then pedelecs 2000 to 2006. 11
  • Figure 3 shows Chinese power assisted vehicles but does not distinguish 11
  • FIGURE 6 BICYCLE AND ELECTRIC E-BIKE AND PEDELEC PRODUCTION IN CHINA 11
  • Figure 8 Shows an able bodied female around 55 kg in weight riding easily up
  • hill. An 13
  • FIGURE 9. JAPAN: BICYCLE PRODUCTION, IMPORTS, EXPORTS, AND DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION 14
  • Table 1 Oil price forecasts for the period 2010, 2020 and 2030 (US $ per barrel) 17
  • Source: Oil production data from the April 2005 newsletter of the Association
  • for the Study of Peak Oil www.asponews.org 18

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