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Uganda Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 50 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates
BMI View:

Uganda's public healthcare sector will remain underfunded, and hence underdeveloped, with the private sector remaining the largest in terms of value. Strong private consumption growth will drive medicine spending, with opportunities being presented for multinationals selling high-value patented drugs.

Headline Expenditure Projections

- Pharmaceuticals: UGX1,257bn (USD410mn) in 2015 to UGX1,373bn (USD397mn) in 2016; +9.3% growth in local currency terms and -3.1% in US dollar terms. Forecast revised upwards in US dollar terms from last quarter.

- Healthcare: UGX5,485bn (USD1.79bn) in 2015 to UGX5,858bn (USD1.69bn) in 2016; +6.8% growth in local currency terms and -5.3% in US dollar terms. Forecast in US dollar terms revised slightly upwards from last quarter. Uganda has moved down one step to 27th in the Middle East and Africa (MEA) region since the previous quarter. While factors such as population growth and increasing healthcare needs will create a growing demand for pharmaceuticals, we note that a sizeable counterfeiting industry, poor healthcare funding, corruption, regulatory environment deficiencies and a number of other issues will combine to keep Uganda in a similarly low position in the MEA matrix over the coming months.

Table Of Contents

Uganda Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Table: Headline Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Forecasts (Uganda 2014-2020) 5
SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Pharmaceutical Market Forecast 9
Table: Pharmaceutical Sales, Historical Data And Forecasts (Uganda 2012-2020) 12
Healthcare Market Forecast 13
Table: Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Uganda 2012-2020) 16
Table: Government Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Uganda 2012-2020) 17
Table: Private Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Uganda 2012-2020) 18
Industry Risk/Reward Index 19
Middle East and Africa Risk/Reward Index - Q4 2016 19
Uganda Risk/Reward Index 27
Rewards 27
Risks 27
Regulatory Review 29
Intellectual Property Issues 30
Market Overview 32
Healthcare Sector 33
Epidemiology 36
Demographic Forecast 39
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Uganda 1990-2025) 40
Table: Key Population Ratios (Uganda 1990-2025) 40
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Uganda 1990-2025) 41
Table: Population By Age Group (Uganda 1990-2025) 41
Table: Population By Age Group % (Uganda 1990-2025) 42
Glossary 44
Methodology 46
Pharmaceutical Expenditure Forecast Model 46
Healthcare Expenditure Forecast Model 46
Notes On Methodology 47
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 48
Index Overview 49
Table: Pharmaceutical Risk/Reward Index Indicators 49
Indicator Weightings 50

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ref:plp2016

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