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Germany Renewables Report Q4 2016

  • September 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 59 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

We maintain our upbeat outlook for the German non-hydropower renewables sector, as theintroduction of capacity auctions - while slowing down growth in the short-term - will help reduce cost ofnew capacity and ensure that new intermittent power generating capacity can be integrated into the powergrid without jeopardising the stability of power supply. Over the long term, these cost-reductions and theimproved integration of capacity will cement renewables importance in the power mix, particularly as otherpower sectors stagnate and the backlog of expensive renewables subsidies is phased out.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends


- Germany will introduce competitive auctions in the renewables sector from January 2017, as the EEG2017 was passed through the German parliament in July 2016. The new mechanism will be introduced onthe back of a series of solar power pilot auctions over 2015, that are meant to help the government bettercalibrate the new system. The amount of capacity awarded in auctions will be capped in order to ensurethat new capacity can be integrated into the grid system without jeopardising the stability of the powersupply. While this will slow growth over the short-to-medium term, we believe it will be a strong positivefor the sector over the longer term, as costs decrease and new technologies that can support renewablesintegration gain traction in the country (like automated demand-response measures and battery storage).

Table Of Contents

Germany Renewables Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Renewables Headline Forecasts (Germany 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Germany Renewables Forecast Scenario 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 13
Table: Total Annual Capacity Offered In Pilot Auctions 29
Table: Steady Decline In Bidding Prices 30
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Germany 2014-2019) 32
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Germany 2020-2025) 32
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Germany 2014-2019) 33
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Germany 2020-2025) 34
Germany Renewables Projects Database 36
Table: Germany - Top 10 Renewables Projects By Capacity 36
Industry Risk/Reward Index 38
Germany Renewables Risk/Reward Index 38
Rewards 38
Risks 39
Market Overview 41
Sustainable Energy Policy and Infrastructure 41
Emissions 41
Renewables 42
Subsidies 42
Infrastructure 44
Competitive Landscape 48
EON 48
RWE 50
Vattenfall 50
DONG Energy 51
Siemens 51
Glossary 53
Table: Glossary Of Terms 53
Methodology 54
Methodology And Sources 54
Industry Forecast Methodology 54
Sources 56
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 56
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Index Indicators 58
Table: Weighting Indicators 59

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