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France Renewables Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 50 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates



BMI View: Long-term regulatory visibility in France's non-hydropower sector will be conducive to growthover the next decade - with the energy transition bill having been formally adopted and expansion plansbeing centred on ambitious capacity targets. We therefore believe France will emerge as a renewablesgrowth hotspot in Europe as this expansion gains traction over the next five years.Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- According to the French energy regulator CRE, the cost of public service charges will grow by 19% from2015 levels leading up to 2017 - when it will reach EUR8bn. Two-thirds of these charges are in relationto the CSPE, which adds a tax to retail electricity prices in order to finance renewable energy subsidies.Insufficient increases in the CSPE surcharge has meant Électricité de France has borne the brunt of suchcosts.

- We have upwardly revised our forecast for wind and solar power capacity growth over the next decade -on the back of the government integrating more ambitious 2023 targets for the two sectors. We nowexpect solar power to grow by an annual average of 10.4% over the next decade, an increase to ourformer expectations (9.7%). Similarly, our wind power capacity growth forecast entails average y-o-ygrowth of 7.1%, compared to our former expectation of 6.9%. We expect wind power capacity to almostdouble over the next decade, and solar power capacity to almost triple.

Table Of Contents

France Renewables Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Renewables Headline Forecasts (France 2015-2021) 7
Latest Updates And Structural Trends 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
France Renewables Forecast Scenario 10
Latest Updates 10
Structural Trends 12
Table: The Energy Transition Bill 12
Table: Ambitious Targets To Be Supported By Policy 14
Table: Solar Power Tenders - Capacity On Offer, By Year And Type 21
Table: Limited Biomass Capacity On Offer 23
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (France 2014-2019) 26
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (France 2020-2025) 27
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (France 2014-2019) 28
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (France 2020-2025) 29
France Renewables Projects Database 30
Table: France - Top 10 Renewables Projects By Capacity (MW) 30
Industry Risk/Reward Index 32
France Renewables Risk/Reward Index 32
Rewards 32
Risks 33
Market Overview 34
Sustainable Energy Policy and Infrastructure 34
Targets (Renewables And Emissions) 34
Table: Renewables Expansion Growing More Ambitious 35
Subsidies 35
Infrastructure 36
Competitive Landscape 40
Electricite de France (EDF) 40
Engie (GDF Suez) 41
Alstom 42
Areva 43
Glossary 44
Table: Glossary Of Terms 44
Methodology 45
Methodology And Sources 45
Industry Forecast Methodology 45
Sources 47
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 47
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Index Indicators 49
Table: Weighting Indicators 50

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