West Africa Mining Report Q1 2015

  • November 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 103 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The outlook for iron ore production in West Africa is increasingly precarious, as the collapse in global iron ore prices and outbreak of the Ebola virus coalesce to slash mining companies' revenue, limit financing options, force the evacuation of workers and disrupt supply chains.
The coalescence of a sharp downturn in global iron ore prices and the outbreak of the deadly Ebola virus will dent West Africa's growth outlook as mining companies suffer reduced revenue, difficulties in accessing finance and logistical disruption.

Table Of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
Sierra Leone's Marampa Mine On The Brink 7
Force Majeure In Liberia 8
Financing Issues and Production Delays For Guinea 9
SWOT 11
Industry Forecast 13
Guinea Iron Ore: Serious Short-Term Headwinds 13
Positive Long-Term Outlook For Simandou 14
Elevated Political Risk 15
Table: Guinea - Main Iron Ore Projects 16
Table: Guinea - Iron Ore Production and Growth 16
Guinea Bauxite: Solid Growth Ahead 17
Table: Guinea - Key Expansion Plans 18
Political Risk and Poor Infrastructure To Weigh On Investment 19
Table: Guinea - Bauxite Production and Growth 20
Sierra Leone: Iron Ore Boom Under Threat 20
Table: Sierra Leone - Iron Ore Production and Growth 23
Mauritania: Large Reserves, But Risks Loom 24
Table: Mauritania - Key Mining Projects 27
Gradual Steps To Improve Infrastructure 27
Table: Mauritania - Mine Production and Growth 27
Ghana Gold: Price Weakness Spells Trouble 28
Government Measures To Increase Difficulties 30
Table: Ghana - Gold Production and Growth 31
Côte d'Ivoire Gold: Endeavour Mining To Drive Growth 31
Downside Risks Ahead 33
Table: Côte d'Ivoire - Largest Gold Projects 34
Liberia Iron Ore: Hit By Ebola and Price Weakness 34
Relatively Stable Business Environment 36
Table: Liberia - Main Iron Ore Projects Under Development 37
Iron Ore Prices and Weak Infrastructure Will Mean A Rocky Road Ahead 37
Table: Liberia - Iron Ore Production Forecast and Growth 37
Mali: Unrest Ahead 38
Table: Mali - Gold Production and Growth 41
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 42
Africa - Risk/Reward Index 42
Large Rewards Matched By High Risks 42
West African Countries Trend Lower 43
Table: Africa - Mining Risk/Reward Index 44
Guinea Risk/Reward Ratings 44
Rewards 45
Industry Rewards 45
Country Rewards 45
Risks 46
Industry Risks 46
Country Risks 46
Table: Guinea - Mine Production and % Growth 46
Liberia Risk/Reward Index 46
Rewards 46
Industry Rewards 46
Country Rewards 47
Risks 47
Industry Risks 47
Country Risks 48
Table: Liberia Mine Production Forecasts 48
Regulatory Development 49
Mauritania: Mining Sector To Remain Investor Friendly 49
Ghana: Windfall Tax On Hold 49
Mining Reviews For Mali And Sierra Leone 50
Tough Conditions In Guinea 50
Cote d'Ivoire Taking Positive Steps 50
Future Possibility Of Regulation Harmonization 50
Table: Africa - Mining Regulatory Outlook 50
Commodities Forecast 53
Commodity Strategy 53
Ferrous Metals 53
Non-Ferrous Metals: 56
Aluminium: Price Headwinds To Persist Despite Market Tightness 56
Copper: Bounce To Prove Temporary 57
Nickel: Multiple Price Headwinds To Persist 59
Zinc: No Sustained Gains 62
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts 63
Competitive Landscape 65
Table: West Africa: Key Mining Companies' Financial Metrics 66
Company Profile 67
Rio Tinto - Q115 67
Company Overview 69
Company Strategy 70
Latest Financial Results 71
Table: Rio Tinto - Key Financial Data 73
Randgold Resources 74
Table: Randgold Resources - Key Financial Data 78
AngloGold Ashanti 79
Overview 81
Strategy 82
Risks 83
Latest Results 83
Table: AngloGold Ashanti - Key Financial Data 84
Regional Overview 85
Southern Coal To Come Under Pressure 85
West African Iron Ore In Peril 86
Zambian Copper Cutbacks 87
Job Cuts and Greater Mechanisation 87
Tin Sector Remains A Bright Spot 88
Global Industry Overview 90
Unearthing The Key Mining Themes In 2015 90
Methodology 100
Industry Forecast Methodology 100
Sources 101
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 102
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 103

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