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  4. > West Africa Mining Report Q1 2017

West Africa Mining Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 103 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:

West Africa's growth outlook will remain weak due to both low mineral prices and countries' inadequate infrastructure over the coming quarters. The region's long-term growth outlook remains promising due to countries' vast untapped mineral reserves, positive foreign investment outlook and infrastructure developments.

Latest Developments & Structural Trends

- Guinea: We expect three-month LME aluminium prices to respect lows around USD1,400/tonne as the metal continues to stabilise in 2016, supported by the winding down of the US dollar bull run and capacity cuts by major producers. We expect aluminium to trade continue to trade between USD1,500-1,700/tonne over the coming months, averaging USD1,600/tonne over the year. Our forecast implies a relatively neutral near-term view, with spot prices on July 13 at USD1,670/tonne. On the one hand, US dollar weakness will support a recovery in metal prices, while the beginning of a new Chinese yuan bear market will keep a lid on prices over the coming quarters.

Table Of Contents

West Africa Mining Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Select Countries - Mining Industry Forecast 7
Latest Developments and Structural Trends 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Guinea Bauxite: Pipeline To Support Growth 11
Latest Developments 11
Table: Guinea - Bauxite Production and Growth 12
Table: Guinea - New Projects 12
Structural Trends 14
Political Risks To Outlook 15
Guinea Iron Ore: Muted Output Growth In Coming Years 17
Latest Developments 17
Table: Guinea - Iron Ore Production and Growth 17
Table: Guinea - New Iron Ore Projects 18
Structural Trends 18
Sierra Leone: Slow Growth Ahead 21
Latest Developments 21
Table: Sierra Leone - Iron Ore Mine Production 21
Structural Trends 21
Table: Sierra Leone - Key Infrastructure Projects 25
Mauritania: Growth To Be Subdued 26
Latest Developments 26
Table: Mauritania - Mine Production and Growth 27
Table: Mauritania - New Iron Ore Mining Projects 28
Structural Trends 29
Modest Price Recovery To Constrain Growth 30
Infrastructure Weakness To Dampen Growth Outlook 31
Côte d'Ivoire Gold: New Projects To Support Growth 32
Latest Developments 32
Table: Cote d'Ivoire - Gold Production Forecast 32
Table: Côte d'Ivoire - Largest Gold Projects 33
Structural Trends 33
Liberia Iron Ore: Operational Challenges To Remain Key Impediment 37
Latest Developments 37
Table: Liberia - Iron Ore Production Forecast and Growth 37
Table: Liberia - New Iron Ore Projects 38
Structural Trends 39
Business Environment To Remain Relatively Stable 43
Mali Gold: Price Recovery To Support Growth 44
Latest Developments 44
Table: Mali - Gold Production Forecast 45
Table: Mali - Mining Ministry Gold Production Forecast 45
Structural Trends 46
Ghana Gold: Modest Growth In Coming Years 48
Latest Developments 48
Table: Ghana - Gold Production and Growth 49
Structural Trends 50
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 55
Guinea - Mining Risk/Reward Index 55
Rewards 55
Industry Rewards 55
Country Rewards 55
Risks 55
Industry Risks 55
Country Risks 55
Liberia Risk/Reward Index 56
Rewards 56
Industry Rewards 56
Country Rewards 56
Risks 56
Industry Risks 56
Country Risks 56
Africa - Risk/Reward Index 57
Key Takeaways 57
Latest Revisions 58
Table: Africa - Mining Risk/Reward Indices 60
Regulatory Development 61
Commodities Forecast 64
Commodities Forecasts 64
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 64
Competitive Landscape 66
Table: West Africa: Key Mining Companies' Financial Metrics 67
Company Profile 68
Global Company Strategy - AngloGold Ashanti - Q1 2017 68
Table: Gold Price Forecast 70
Company Strategy 72
Table: AngloGold Ashanti - Key Financial Data 74
Global Company Strategy - Randgold Resources - Q1 2017 75
Table: Gold Price Forecast 77
Company Analysis 77
Table: Select Gold Companies Data 79
Latest Financial Results 80
Table: Randgold Resources - Key Financial Data 81
Global Company Strategy - Rio Tinto 82
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts 84
Company Analysis 84
Table: Select Companies - Key Data 87
Table: Rio Tinto - Key Projects 90
Table: Rio Tinto - Key Financial Data 91
Regional Overview 92
Africa - Africa Mining: The Four Key Themes 92
Table: SSA - Key Operational And Regulatory Risks And Challenges 95
Methodology 100
Industry Forecast Methodology 100
Sources 101
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 102
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 103

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