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India Retail Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 71 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Improving income levels in India, combined with the second largest population in the world,mean a potentially huge market for retailers as household spending will reach USD1,772bn by 2019. Thereare still limitations to the country's market, as much of the infrastructure remains poor, and the householdincome per a capita is still small, while the majority of the population lives in rural areas.

Two growingsectors that retailers should consider are clothing and footwear as the young urbanites become morefashion conscious and e-commerce which is growing with greater internet penetration.India's economy is one of the fastest growing in the world. Indeed, in Q215 the country's economy grew at arate of 7.0% equalling China, which it had outpaced for two of the previous three quarters, as it looks set totake advantage of its democratic dividend and become one of the largest economies in the world. Futurepredictions are also very healthy as Prime Minister Narendra Modi looks to push on and keep up the rate ofgrowth by encouraging foreign direct investment (FDI) into the country, particularly trying to encouragegrowth in the manufacturing sector which has a lot of room to grow and where it generally is behind itscompetitors such as China. India's economy is being driven by its huge population, the second largest in theworld at 1.31bn, which has the added benefit of being largely of young working age, providing a large workforce. The result is that the Indian economy is expected gain substantially over the next five years andbeyond.

Table Of Contents

India Retail Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political 11
Economic 13
Industry Forecast 15
Headline Retail Forecast 15
Table: Total Household Spending (India 2012-2019) 17
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (India 2012-2019) 18
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (India 2012-2019) 19
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (India 2012-2019) 20
Retail Sector Forecast 22
Food, Drink and Tobacco 23
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (India 2012-2019) 24
Clothing and Footwear 24
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (India 2012-2019) 25
Household Goods 25
Table: Household Goods Spending (India 2012-2019) 26
Personal Care 27
Table: Personal Care Spending (India 2012-2019) 27
Household Numbers and Income Forecast 28
Table: Household Income Data (India 2012-2019) 28
Table: Labour Market Data (India 2012-2019) 32
Demographic Forecast 33
Table: Total Population (India 2012-2019) 34
Table: Population: Babies (India 2012-2019) 35
Table: Population: Young Children (India 2012-2019) 35
Table: Population: Children (India 2012-2019) 36
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (India 2012-2019) 36
Table: Population: Young People (India 2012-2019) 37
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (India 2012-2019) 37
Table: Population: 21yrs + (India 2012-2019) 38
Table: Population: Young Adults (India 2012-2019) 38
Table: Population: Middle Aged (India 2012-2019) 39
Table: Population: Urban (India 2012-2019) 39
Macroeconomic Forecasts 40
Economic Analysis 40
Table: Agriculture Weakening, Manufacturing and Services Providing Support 43
Table: Economic Activity (India 2010-2019) 46
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 47
Asia Risk/Reward Index 47
Table: Asia Pacific Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q116 47
Industry Risk/Reward Index 49
Rewards 49
Risks 50
Market Overview 52
Competitive Landscape 55
Department Store Groups 55
Mass Grocery Retail (MGR) 56
Fashion 57
Glossary 58
Methodology 65
Industry Forecast Methodology 65
Sources 68
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 68
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 69
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 71

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