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Czech Republic Renewables Report Q1 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 34 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: This quarter our view on the Czech Republic's power market remains largely unvaried Wecontinue to see limited opportunities in the Czech renewables sector at present, as concerns over thecountry's economic competiveness and previous difficulties with setting renewables subsidies at asustainable level, has led the government to scale back, and almost abandon, its pursuit of renewableenergy With cheaper fuel sources taking priority, we maintain our reserved outlook for the industry,expecting non-hydro renewable generation to account for roughly 9% of total electricity generation by2024

Key Trends And Developments

- The country aims to develop renewables to account for at least 15-16% of total energy consumption by2030, a target that we consider unachievable at present Although the Czech Republic has made animpressive start in adopting renewable sources into its electricity mix, we believe that high levels ofregulatory uncertainty in the industry and the government's apparent preference for thermal powersources will result in a much less robust expansion than in previous years As such, we forecastrenewables capacity to expand moderately over our 10-year forecast period to 2024, registering anaverage annual growth rate of 28% between 2015 and 2024 Non-hydro renewables generation willexpand at a similarly slow rate, at 22% over the same time period

- On 18 May 2015, the Czech government approved an updated version of the country's energy strategy -the first version of the document was approved in 2004 The revised strategy sets out the targets for anddirection of the Czech energy sector for next 25 years, focussing on nuclear and renewables

Table Of Contents

Czech Republic Renewables Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Table: Renewables Headline Forecasts (Czech Republic 2014-2020) 5
SWOT 6
Industry Forecast 8
Czech Republic Renewables Forecast Scenario 8
Latest Updates 9
Structural Trends 9
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2013-2018) 15
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2019-2024) 15
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2013-2018) 17
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2019-2024) 18
Industry Risk Reward Index 19
Czech Republic Renewables Risk/Reward Index 19
Rewards 20
Risks 20
Market Overview 22
Sustainable Energy Policy And Infrastructure 22
Targets 22
Subsidies 23
Table: Renewable Feed-In Tariffs In The Czech Republic, 2011 24
Infrastructure 24
Competitive Landscape 26
CEZ 26
EON 26
PRE 27
CEPS 27
Glossary 28
Table: Glossary Of Terms 28
Methodology 29
Methodology And Sources 29
Industry Forecast Methodology 29
Sources 31
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 31
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Index Indicators 33
Table: Weighting Indicators 34

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