Strategic Analysis of the Chinese Hybrid and Electric Transit Bus Market 

• Publication date: November 2012
• Report size: 98 pages

This research service analyses the Chinese hybrid and electric transit bus market. The study analyses key trends such as drivers and restraints, technology and market trends. It provides sales forecasts for the conventional transit and the BRT transit markets, with individual penetration of hybrid and electric drives in these segments. Market share and competitive analysis of leading original equipment manufacturers in the marketplace are include...

This research service analyses the Chinese hybrid and electric transit bus market. The study analyses key trends such as drivers and restraints, technology and market trends. It provides sales forecasts for the conventional transit and the BRT transit markets, with individual penetration of hybrid and electric drives in these segments. Market share and competitive analysis of leading original equipment manufacturers in the marketplace are included. Furthermore, value chain analysis, key conclusions, and recommendations are considered for the mid to long terms. The study period is 2008-2018, with a base year of 2011 and a forecast period of 2012-2018.

Executive Summary – Key Findings

The Chinese transit bus market is set to reach units by 2018 with a CAGR of percent over the 2011–2018 period.
Hybrid penetration in the transit bus market is expected to reach percent by 2018. Total market sales are expected to reach units by 2018 at a CAGR of percent.
In 2011, Wuzhoulong, Foton, Kinglong, and Ankai emerged as top hybrid and electric transit bus manufacturers with a combined market share of percent.
The parallel hybrid system remains the most prevalent architecture in hybrid transit buses. Meanwhile, the series-parallel hybrid will gain increasing share.
BRT systems are currently operational in more than cities in China. Market potential for hybridisation and electrification in these BRTs is expected to grow during the forecast period.

Impact of Top 3 Mega Trends on Chinese Hybrid and Electric Transit Bus Industry

Urbanisation:

The increasing pace of urbanisation will lead to the integration of the core city centre with suburbs and daughter cities, resulting in expanding city limits. This phenomenon will have a massive impact on the future of mobility, working life, and societies. As a result, we will see the emergence of Mega Cities, Mega Regions, and Mega Corridors.

Electric Mobility:

More than million electric two-wheelers and four-wheelers will be sold annually around the globe in 2020. E-Mobility, from electric cars to electric aircraft, will usher in a new set of players with new business models, offering innovative and customised infrastructure and technology solutions.

Future Infrastructure Development and High-Speed Rail:

With approximately $ billion expected to be spent globally on infrastructure projects (2005–2030), there will be a tremendous improvement in the quality and operational efficiency of such sectors as transport, power, and water. Emerging transportation corridors (e.g., Trans-Siberian Rail, high-speed rail corridors in the United States) will lead to the mushrooming of economic and technology clusters along these corridors. These integrated hubs will be the future centres of innovation, R&D, and technical excellence, attracting massive investment and government support.

Road Passenger Transport Industry in China

Table of Contents

Section
Slide Numbers
Executive Summary

Research Objectives, Methodology, Background, and Scope

Definitions/Segmentation

Market Overview

Market Trends

Technology Trends and Analysis

Total Chinese Transit Bus Market

Forecasts and Trends—Hybrid and Electric Transit Bus Market

Hybrid and Electric Conventional Transit Bus Market

Hybrid and Electric BRT Bus Market

Market Share and Competitive Analysis—Hybrid and Electric Transit Bus Market

Conclusions and Future Outlook

Appendix

Bus Service in China

China Bus And Coach Production, Units, Mn

• $ 250
• Industry data
• January 2013

Yearly, From 2006 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: OICA

• Industries : Road Passenger Transport
• Countries : China

China Bus And Coach Production, Units

• $ 250
• Industry data
• January 2013

Yearly, From 2006 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: OICA

• Industries : Road Passenger Transport
• Countries : China

China Bus And Coach Production, Units, % Chg Y-o-y

• $ 250
• Industry data
• January 2013

Yearly, From 2007 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: OICA/BMI calculation

• Industries : Road Passenger Transport
• Countries : China

China Bus And Coach Trade Balance, Cnybn

• $ 250
• Industry data
• January 2013

Yearly, From 1992 To 2015
By Business Monitor International
Source: UN/BMI calculation

• Industries : Road Passenger Transport
• Countries : China

China Bus And Coach Exports, Cny, % Chg Y-o-y

• $ 250
• Industry data
• January 2013

Yearly, From 1993 To 2015
By Business Monitor International
Source: UN/BMI calculation

• Industries : Road Passenger Transport
• Countries : China

Road Passenger Transport in China

China Bus And Coach Trade Balance, Cny, % Chg Y-o-y

• $ 250
• Industry data
• January 2013

Yearly, From 1993 To 2015
By Business Monitor International
Source: UN/BMI calculation

• Industries : Road Passenger Transport
• Countries : China

China Bus And Coach Exports, Us$bn

• $ 250
• Industry data
• January 2013

Yearly, From 1992 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: UN

• Industries : Road Passenger Transport
• Countries : China

China Commercial Vehicle Trade Balance, Us$bn

• $ 250
• Industry data
• January 2013

Yearly, From 1992 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: UN/BMI calculation

• Industries : Road Passenger Transport
• Countries : China

China Bus And Coach Imports, Cnybn

• $ 250
• Industry data
• January 2013

Yearly, From 1992 To 2015
By Business Monitor International
Source: UN/BMI calculation

• Industries : Road Passenger Transport
• Countries : China

China Commercial Vehicle Trade Balance, Cnybn

• $ 250
• Industry data
• January 2013

Yearly, From 1992 To 2015
By Business Monitor International
Source: UN/BMI calculation

• Industries : Road Passenger Transport
• Countries : China