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United States Mining Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 72 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


>BMI View:
The United States' mining industry value will continue to contract through 2017, as muted production growth in the gold and copper sectors fails to offset sharp declines in coal output. Latest Updates & Structural Trends

- The US' mining industry value will decline through 2017, as elevated costs and structurally lower mineral prices weigh on growth. In particular, the declining coal sector, which accounts for nearly two thirds of the US mining industry value, will drag down mining industry value, which we forecast to contract by an average of 0.6% annually over 2017-2020. In absolute terms, we expect the US mining industry value to stagnate, totalling USD97.7bn by 2020 compared to an estimated USD98.2bn in 2016.

- US coal production will continue to contract due to persistently weak thermal and metallurgical coal prices, significant coal stockpiles and competitively cheap natural gas. We forecast US coal production to maintain a steady decline, averaging a 2.5% contraction over 2017-2020. In terms of volume, we expect the US to produce 625 million tonnes (mnt) of coal in 2017 and only 588mnt by 2020, compared to a peak of 1.1 billion tonnes in 2008.

Table Of Contents

United States Mining Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 7
Table: United States Mining Industry Value Forecast (2014-2020) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Coal: Downtrend To Persist 10
Table: Coal Production Forecast (US 2012-2020) 10
Table: US - Key Coal Mine Projects 11
Table: US Coal Bankruptcies 12
Copper: Lowering Costs To Support Production 16
Table: Copper Production Forecast (United States 2012-2020) 16
Table: United States - Copper Projects 17
Gold: Short-Term Growth To Continue 20
Table: Gold Production Forecast (US 2012-2020) 20
Table: US - Select Gold Mine Projects 21
Lead: Downtrend To Continue 23
Table: Lead Production Forecast (United States 2012-2020) 23
Industry Risk/Reward Index 29
United States Risk/Reward Index 29
Latin America (Region)- Americas - Risk/Reward Index - Q1 2017 30
Table: Americas - Mining Risk/Reward Indices 33
Regulatory Development 34
Commodities Forecast 38
Commodities Forecasts 38
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 38
Competitive Landscape 40
Table: United States - Largest Listed Mining Companies' Financial Data, 2015 41
Company Profile 42
Global Company Strategy - Newmont Mining - Q1 2017 42
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts 44
Table: Newmont Mining - Key Projects 48
Table: Newmont Mining - Key Financial Data 48
Table: Gold - Operational Highlights, 2015 49
Freeport-McMoRan - Q1 2017 49
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts 51
Table: Freeport McMoRan - Key Financial Data 55
Table: Copper Operational Highlights, 2015 56
Company Profile - Peabody Energy - Q1 2017 57
Table: Peabody Energy - Key Financial Data 60
Regional Overview 61
Latin America (Region) - Americas Mining: The Four Key Themes 61
Table: Americas - Largest Projects By Capex 67
Methodology 69
Industry Forecast Methodology 69
Sources 70
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 71
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 72

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