World Buses Market, Freedonia

  • March 2015
  • -
  • Freedonia
  • -
  • 439 pages

World demand to rise over 5% annually through 2018

Worldwide demand for buses is projected to rise more than five percent per annum to over 600,000 units in 2018, twice as fast as the 2008-2013 rate of increase. The number of buses in use worldwide is expected to exceed eight million units in 2018. Five major trends will fuel growth:
• Expansion in the size of the global urban population.
• Rising government investment in public transportation networks, particularly bus rapid transit systems, to reduce traffic congestion and improve air quality.
• Growth in the number and size of private transportation companies.
• Climbing worldwide sales of electric, hybrid, compressed natural gas (CNG), and liquefied natural gas (LNG) models, as many countries adopt more stringent emissions standards and environmental considerations grow in importance.
• Growth in the use of Type C and other school bus models because of government efforts to expand access to education, safety concerns, and more favorable conditions in the large US market. However, global bus sales increases will be restrained by rising demand for and use of motorcycles and light motor vehicles for transportation as income levels climb in many developing nations.
The expansion of rail transportation networks around the world is also expected to moderate bus market growth.

Asia/Pacific region to post largest gains in demand

The Asia/Pacific region is projected to account for more than three-fifths of all new bus demand through 2018. Growth is expected to pick up in both India and China, the region’s two largest bus markets, after declining moderately during the second part of the 2008-2013 period. Japan, Taiwan, and South Korea are also expected to perform considerably better between 2013 and 2018 as older buses are replaced, often with alternative fuel models, while Indonesia, Thailand, Vietnam, and other developing nations will continue to see impressive bus sales growth. Suppliers to the Asia/Pacific bus market will benefit greatly from further government spending on bus transportation networks and the expansion of the tourism and private transportation industries. Sales of Type C and other purposebuilt school buses are also expected to advance sharply, especially in China.

Growth to accelerate in North America, Western Europe

Following a period of sizable losses, demand for buses in North America and Western Europe is projected to rebound noticeably, as sales of electric, hybrid, CNG, and LNG buses grow. Since 2003, demand for these models has increased dramatically in these two regions from relatively small existing market bases because of the adoption of more stringent emissions standards (e.g., Euro VI for buses in December 2013), and this trend is expected to continue. Many cities, private transportation companies, and other end users have become much more sensitive to environmental issues. In addition, suppliers to the North American market will benefit from a rebound in Type C school bus sales, while Western Europe is expected to post gains in demand for private and public transit buses and motor coaches to replace aging fleets.
Difficult economic conditions in many West European countries caused governments to delay transit bus replacement.

Study coverage

This upcoming industry study, World Buses, presents historical demand data plus forecasts for 2018 and 2023 by fuel type, product, world region, and for 26 countries. The study also analyzes market environment factors, details the industry structure, assesses company market share and profiles 41 industry participants worldwide.

Table Of Contents

World Buses Market, Freedonia
INTRODUCTION xi
I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1
II. MARKET ENVIRONMENT 4
General 4
World Economic Overview 4
Recent Historical Trends 5
World Economic Outlook 6
Personal Income Trends 9
World Demographic Overview 11
Population 12
Urban Population 14
World Light Vehicle and Motorcycle Overview 16
Light Vehicle Demand 17
Motorcycle Demand 19
Energy Prices 22
Technology Trends 26
Legal and Regulatory Environment 28
Pricing Trends 33
III. OVERVIEW 37
General 37
Regional Overview 38
Demand 39
Park 43
Production 47
International Trade 52
Demand by Product 56
Motor Coaches 60
Transit Buses 63
Other Buses 66
Demand by Fuel Type 70
Bus Rapid Transit Systems 75
IV. NORTH AMERICA 79
Economic Overview 79
Bus Supply and Demand 80
Bus Market Outlook 84
United States 89
Canada 96
Mexico 103
V. WESTERN EUROPE 111
Economic Overview 111
Bus Supply and Demand 112
Bus Market Outlook 116
France 121
Germany 127
United Kingdom 133
Italy 140
Spain 146
Other Western Europe 152
VI. ASIA/PACIFIC 160
Economic Overview 160
Bus Supply and Demand 161
Bus Market Outlook 165
China 169
India 177
South Korea 185
Japan 191
Indonesia 197
Thailand 203
Other Asia/Pacific 210
Vietnam 220
Australia 221
Taiwan 222
All Other 223
VII. OTHER REGIONS 225
Central and South America 225
Economic Overview 225
Bus Supply and Demand 226
Bus Market Outlook 229
Brazil 234
Other Central and South America 241
Argentina 250
All Other 252
Eastern Europe 253
Economic Overview 253
Bus Supply and Demand 255
Bus Market Outlook 258
Russia 261
Other Eastern Europe 268
Africa/Mideast 276
Economic Overview 276
Bus Supply and Demand 277
Bus Market Outlook 281
Turkey 284
Saudi Arabia 290
Other Africa/Mideast 297
VIII. INDUSTRY STRUCTURE 305
General 305
Industry Composition 306
Market Share 308
Research and Product Development 316
Manufacturing 319
Marketing and Distribution 321
Financial Requirements 323
Cooperative Agreements 324
Mergers and Acquisitions 332
Company Profiles 335
Advanced Public Transport Systems, see VDL Groep
Alexander Dennis Limited 336
Allied Specialty Vehicles Incorporated 339
Anhui Ankai Automobile Company Limited 341
Ashok Leyland Limited 343
Berkshire Hathaway Incorporated 345
Blue Bird Corporation 347
Carrosserie HESS AG 349
Champion Bus, see Allied Specialty Vehicles
China First Automobile Works Group Corporation 350
CNH Industrial NV 351
Collins Bus, see Allied Specialty Vehicles
Consorcio G Grupo Dina SA de CV 353
Daimler AG 355
Detroit Diesel, see Daimler
Dina Camiones, see Consorcio G Grupo Dina
Eicher Motors Limited 360
ElDorado National California, see Allied Specialty
Vehicles
ElDorado National Kansas, see Allied Specialty Vehicles
Elkhart Coach, see Berkshire Hathaway
EvoBus, see Daimler
Federal Coach, see Allied Specialty Vehicles
Fiat Industrial, see CNH Industrial
Forest River, see Berkshire Hathaway
GAZ OAO 362
General Coach America, see Allied Specialty Vehicles
General Motors Company 364
Glaval Bus, see Berkshire Hathaway
Goshen Coach, see Allied Specialty Vehicles
Haci Ömer Sabanci Holding A? 365
Hino Motors, see Toyota Motor
Hyundai Motor Company 367
IC Bus, see Navistar International
International Indústria de Motores da America do Sul, see
Navistar International
Irizar S Cooperativa 369
IRIZAR-TVS, see Ashok Leyland and Irizar S
Cooperativa
Iveco, see CNH Industrial
Isuzu Motors Limited 371
J-Bus, see Isuzu Motors and Toyota Motor
Kuozui Motors, see Toyota Motor
Liaoning SG Automotive Group Company Limited 373
MAN, see Volkswagen
Marcopolo SA 374
Micro Bird, see Blue Bird
Minsky Avtomobilny Zavod JSC 377
Mitsubishi Fuso Truck and Bus, see Daimler
Motor Coach Industries Incorporated 378
Navistar International Corporation 379
NEOPLAN Bus, see Volkswagen
New Flyer Industries Incorporated 383
North American Bus Industries, see New Flyer Industries
Nova Bus, see Volvo
Optare, see Ashok Leyland
Polomex, see Daimler and Marcopolo
Prevost Car, see Volvo
Proterra Incorporated 386
Scania, see Volkswagen
Solaris Bus and Coach SA 388
Starcraft Bus, see Berkshire Hathaway
Superpolo, see Marcopolo
Tata Marcopolo Motors, see Marcopolo and Tata Motors
Tata Motors Limited 390
Temsa Global Sanayi ve Ticaret, see Haci Ömer Sabanci
Holding
Thomas Built Buses, see Daimler
Thor Industries Incorporated 392
Toyota Motor Corporation 393
Van Hool NV 396
VDL Groep BV 398
VE Commercial Vehicles, see Eicher Motors and Volvo
Volgren Australia, see Marcopolo
Volkswagen AG 401
Volvo AB 406
Wright Group Limited 409
Xiamen King Long Motor Group Company Limited 411
Yangzhou Yaxing Motor Coach Company Limited 413
Zhengzhou Yutong Bus Company Limited 414
Zhongtong Bus Holding Company Limited 415
Zyle Daewoo Bus Corporation 416
Other Companies Mentioned in Study 419

LIST OF TABLES

SECTION I -- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Summary Table 3
SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT
1 World Gross Domestic Product by Region 9
2 World Per Capita GDP 11
3 World Population by Region and Age 14
4 World Urban Population by Region 16
5 World Light Vehicle Demand by Region 19
6 World Motorcycle Demand by Region 21
SECTION III -- OVERVIEW
1 World Bus Demand by Region 42
2 World Buses in Use by Region 46
3 World Bus Production by Region 51
4 World Bus Net Exports by Region 56
5 World Bus Demand by Product 58
6 World Motor Coach Demand by Region 63
7 World Transit Bus Demand by Region 66
8 World Other Bus Demand by Product and Region 69
9 World Bus Demand by Fuel Type 74
SECTION IV -- NORTH AMERICA
1 North America: Bus Supply and Demand 83
2 North America: Buses in Use and Bus Demand by Product and Fuel Type 88
3 United States: Bus Supply and Demand 93
4 United States: Buses in Use and Bus Demand by Product 96
5 Canada: Bus Supply and Demand 100
6 Canada: Buses in Use and Bus Demand by Product 103
7 Mexico: Bus Supply and Demand 107
8 Mexico: Buses in Use and Bus Demand by Product 110
SECTION V -- WESTERN EUROPE
1 Western Europe: Bus Supply and Demand 115
2 Western Europe: Buses in Use and Bus Demand by Product and Fuel Type 120
3 France: Bus Supply and Demand 124
4 France: Buses in Use and Bus Demand by Product 126
5 Germany: Bus Supply and Demand 131
6 Germany: Buses in Use and Bus Demand by Product 133
7 United Kingdom: Bus Supply and Demand 137
8 United Kingdom: Buses in Use and Bus Demand by Product 140
9 Italy: Bus Supply and Demand 144
10 Italy: Buses in Use and Bus Demand by Product 146
11 Spain: Bus Supply and Demand 150
12 Spain: Buses in Use and Bus Demand by Product 152
13 Other Western Europe: Bus Supply and Demand 157
14 Other Western Europe: Buses in Use and Bus Demand by Product 159
SECTION VI -- ASIA/PACIFIC
1 Asia/Pacific: Bus Supply and Demand 164
2 Asia/Pacific: Buses in Use and Bus Demand by Product and Fuel Type 168
3 China: Bus Supply and Demand 174
4 China: Buses in Use and Bus Demand by Product 177
5 India: Bus Supply and Demand 182
6 India: Buses in Use and Bus Demand by Product 185
7 South Korea: Bus Supply and Demand 189
8 South Korea: Buses in Use and Bus Demand by Product 191
9 Japan: Bus Supply and Demand 195
10 Japan: Buses in Use and Bus Demand by Product 197
11 Indonesia: Bus Supply and Demand 201
12 Indonesia: Buses in Use and Bus Demand by Product 203
13 Thailand: Bus Supply and Demand 207
14 Thailand: Buses in Use and Bus Demand by Product 210
15 Other Asia/Pacific: Bus Supply and Demand 214
16 Other Asia/Pacific: Buses in Use and Bus Demand By Product 217
17 Other Asia/Pacific: Buses in Use and Bus Supply and Demand by Country 219
SECTION VII -- OTHER REGIONS
1 Central and South America: Bus Supply and Demand 229
2 Central and South America: Buses in Use and Bus Demand by Product and Fuel Type 233
3 Brazil: Bus Supply and Demand 238
4 Brazil: Buses in Use and Bus Demand by Product 241
5 Other Central and South America: Bus Supply and Demand 246
6 Other Central and South America: Buses in Use and Bus Demand by Product 248
7 Other Central and South America: Buses in Use and Bus Supply and Demand by Country 250
8 Eastern Europe: Bus Supply and Demand by Type 257
9 Eastern Europe: Buses in Use and Bus Demand by Product and Fuel Type 260
10 Russia: Bus Supply and Demand 265
11 Russia: Buses in Use and Bus Demand by Product 268
12 Other Eastern Europe: Bus Supply and Demand 272
13 Other Eastern Europe: Buses in Use and Demand by Bus Type 275
14 Africa/Mideast: Supply and Demand 280
15 Africa/Mideast: Buses in Use and Bus Demand by Product and Fuel Type 283
16 Turkey: Bus Supply and Demand 288
17 Turkey: Buses in Use and Bus Demand by Product 290
18 Saudi Arabia: Bus Supply and Demand 294
19 Saudi Arabia: Buses in Use and Bus Demand by Product 297
20 Other Africa/Mideast: Bus Supply and Demand 302
21 Other Africa/Mideast: Buses in Use and Bus Demand by Product 304
SECTION VIII -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
1 Bus Sales for Selected Manufacturers, 2013 307
2 Selected Cooperative Agreements 326
3 Selected Acquisitions and Divestitures 334

LIST OF CHARTS

SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT
1 Average Annual Crude Oil Spot Prices, 2003-2013 24
2 Natural Gas Prices, 2003-2013 26
3 World Average Bus Prices, 2003-2023 36
SECTION III -- OVERVIEW
1 World Bus Demand by Region, 2013 43
2 World Buses in Use by Region, 2013 47
3 World Bus Production by Region, 2013 52
4 World Bus Demand by Product, 2013 59
5 Change in Bus Demand by Product, 2008-2013 and 2013-2018 60
6 World Bus Market Share by Fuel Type, 2003-2023 75
7 World Bus Rapid Transit System by Region, 2014 78
SECTION IV -- NORTH AMERICA
1 North America: Bus Demand by Country, 2013 84
SECTION V -- WESTERN EUROPE
1 Western Europe: Bus Demand by Country, 2013 116
SECTION VI -- ASIA/PACIFIC
1 Asia/Pacific: Bus Demand by Country, 2013 165
SECTION VIII -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
1 World Bus Market Share by Units, 2013 309
2 World Market Share by Type, 2013 310

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