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Germany Renewables Report Q1 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 50 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: While we maintain a robust forecast for the German renewables sector this quarter, the move tocompetitive auctions in 2017 will stabilise capacity additions at a lower rate than observed over the lastdecade as the government aims to curb rising subsidy costs and prevent unsustainable growth in thesegment. Given the mature state of the market and high renewables penetration in the power mix, Germanywill remain the European bellwether for Green Energy.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- Germany's offshore wind sector registered 1.7GW of capacity additions connected to the grid over H115,over three times more than the cumulative offshore capacity added in the country over 2014, and morethan three times what was added in the UK over H115. We expect this deployment rate will fall, as thecapacity cap set at 6.5GW leading up to 2020 (cut from an initial 10GW) is too low to support acontinued growth spike.

- German chancellor Angela Merkel pushed for a greater commitment for decarbonisation at the 2015 G7summit in June. In the final document, all members, including the US and Japan, affirmed their support todecrease global emissions by 40-70% by 2050. The German government already announced in May 2015that, based on 2014 levels, it would double its contribution to international climate finance by 2020.

Table Of Contents

Germany Renewables Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Renewables Headline Forecasts (Germany 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Germany Renewables Forecast Scenario 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 12
Table: Total Annual Capacity Offered In Pilot Auctions 25
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Germany 2013-2018) 26
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Germany 2019-2024) 27
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Germany 2013-2018) 28
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Germany 2019-2024) 29
Germany Renewables Projects Database 30
Table: Germany - Top 10 Renewables Projects By Capacity 30
Industry Risk/Reward Index 32
Germany Renewables Risk/Reward Index 32
Rewards 32
Risks 32
Market Overview 34
Sustainable Energy Policy and Infrastructure 34
Emissions 34
Renewables 34
Subsidies 35
Infrastructure 37
Competitive Landscape 40
EON 40
RWE 41
Vattenfall 41
DONG Energy 42
Siemens 42
Glossary 44
Table: Glossary Of Terms 44
Methodology 45
Methodology And Sources 45
Industry Forecast Methodology 45
Sources 47
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 47
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Index Indicators 49
Table: Weighting Indicators 50

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