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Sudan and South Sudan Food and Drink Report Q1 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 72 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We maintain our view that economic growth in Sudan will pick up modestly over the comingquarters, with real GDP set to expand by 3.7% in 2015 and 4.3% in 2016 (from an estimated 3.0% in2014). This improvement is in large part due to easing inflationary pressures as the high base effectsassociated with a painful currency devaluation in September 2013 wear off. Our forecast for a significantrise in per capita food consumption in 2015 is a result of very low current consumption and high inflation.However, the demographic profile of the countries, with their significant young population, will provideopportunities.Economic activity In Sudan will be supported by strong agricultural production and continued robustgrowth in gold output. Notwithstanding this improvement in growth, we expect economic conditions toremain highly challenging. Events in recent months have only served to reinforce our view that persistentinsecurity and an uncertain political environment will continue to make Sudan a hostile and unattractiveplace in which to do business.

Table Of Contents

Sudan and South Sudan Food and Drink Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Industry Forecast 10
Food 10
Latest Updates: 10
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Sudan 2012-2019) 11
Drink 11
Latest Updates: 11
Structural Trends: 11
Mass Grocery Retail 13
Latest Updates: 13
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data and Forecasts (Sudan 2012-2019) 13
Macroeconomic Forecast 14
Economic Analysis 14
Table: Economic Activity (South Sudan 2010-2019) 16
Economic Analysis 17
Table: Economic Activity (Sudan 2010-2019) 20
Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index 21
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index 21
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Q415 Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index 22
Market Overview 25
East Africa Market Overview 25
Table: Profitability And Capital Expenditure Data For Selected African Beer Manufacturers 32
Competitive Landscape 33
Table: Key Players In East Africa's Food and Drink Sector 33
Global Industry Overview 34
Table: Selected Markets - Selected Industry and Macroeconomic Indicators - Historical and Forecast 41
Table: Australia, Uk And Usa Estimated Herfindahl-Hirschman Index Scores - Food Retail Industry 50
Table: UAE Food Retail Sales By Format - Historical and Forecast 51
Table: Food and Drink Core Views - Q315 Roundup 54
Demographic Forecast 56
Sudan Demographic Forecast 56
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Sudan 1990-2025) 57
Table: Key Population Ratios (Sudan 1990-2025) 57
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Sudan 1990-2025) 58
Table: Population By Age Group (Sudan 1990-2025) 58
Table: Population By Age Group % (Sudan 1990-2025) 59
South Sudan Demographic Forecast 61
Table: Population Headline Indicators (South Sudan 1990-2025) 62
Table: Key Population Ratios (South Sudan 1990-2025) 62
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (South Sudan 1990-2025) 63
Table: Population By Age Group (South Sudan 1990-2025) 63
Table: Population By Age Group % (South Sudan 1990-2025) 64
Glossary 66
Food and Drink 66
Mass Grocery Retail 66
Methodology 68
Industry Forecast Methodology 68
Sector-Specific Methodology 69
Sources 69
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 70
Table: Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators 71
Table: Weighting 72

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