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Bosnia and Herzegovina Real Estate Report 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 53 pages

BMI View: Low demand and high vacancy rates characterise the Bosnian commercial real estate market. Occupier and investor activity is expected to remain subdued in the short term, but the long-term outlook is more positive. Given the sector's potential for growth and development we believe there will be greater interest from international and regional occupiers, developers and investors in the years ahead. Economic growth is expected to accelerate to 2.8% in 2016 and 3.2% in 2017, reflecting recovery in consumer confidence and improved exports. Overall, GDP growth is forecast to average at 3.0% a year between 2016 and 2019. In the office sector, stronger economic performance is likely to feed through to higher occupier demand and we expect market fundamentals to improve. Demand for space will be particularly driven by growth in the output of the tertiary services sector, but this will be gradual, with most of the improvement taking place from 2017 onwards as the expansion of the service sector accelerates.

Table Of Contents

Bosnia and Herzegovina Real Estate Report 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 10
Economic 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 14
Office Forecast 14
Table: Office Rental Rates, 2010-2015 (per square metre per month) 16
Table: Office Yields, 2010-2019 (%) 17
Retail Forecast 18
Table: Retail Rental Rates, 2010-2015 (2010-2015) 20
Table: Retail Yields, 2010-2019 (%) 21
Industrial Forecast 22
Table: Industrial Rental Rates, 2010-2015 (per square metre per month) 24
Table: Industrial Yields, 2010-2019 (%) 26
Residential/NonResidential Building - Outlook And Overview 27
Latest Updates 27
Structural Trends 27
Table: Construction And Social Infrastructure Key Projects 30
Macroeconomic Forecast 31
Economic Analysis 31
Table: GDP Growth Forecasts (Bosnia-Herzegovina 2013-2024) 34
Table: Private Consumption Forecasts (Bosnia-Herzegovina 2013-2024) 34
Table: Government Consumption Forecasts (Bosnia-Herzegovina 2013-2019) 35
Table: Fixed Investment Forecasts (Bosnia-Herzegovina 2013-2024) 36
Table: Net Exports Forecasts (Bosnia-Herzegovina 2013-2024) 36
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 37
Industry Risk/Reward Index 37
Table: Central And Eastern European Real Estate Risk/Reward Index 37
Rewards 37
Risks 38
Market Overview 39
Competitive Landscape 41
Property Developers 41
Property Managers 42
Demographic Forecast 44
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Bosnia-Herzegovina 1990-2025) 45
Table: Key Population Ratios (Bosnia-Herzegovina 1990-2025) 45
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Bosnia-Herzegovina 1990-2025) 46
Table: Population By Age Group (Bosnia-Herzegovina 1990-2025) 46
Table: Population By Age Group % (Bosnia-Herzegovina 1990-2025) 47
Methodology 49
Industry Forecast Methodology 49
Sources 50
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 51
Table: Real Estate Risk/Reward Index Indicators 52
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 53

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