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Mozambique Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 46 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:

The Mozambican government’s commitment to restructuring its debt burden as a result of pressure from the country’s creditors following the debt scandal will lead to implementation of spending cuts across various sectors including healthcare. This will in turn add additional headwinds to pharmaceutical growth over the short term on top of a collection of long-standing issues, including poor drug regulation and political unrest. We continue to view Mozambique as one of the least attractive pharmaceutical markets in the world.

Headline Expenditure Forecasts



- Pharmaceuticals: MZN8.28bn (USD210mn) in 2015 to MZN8.86bn (USD144mn) in 2016; +7.0% in local currency and -31.3 % in US dollar terms. Forecast revised downwards in US dollar terms from last quarter.

- Healthcare: MZN38.13bn (USD966mn) in 2015 to MZN40.60bn (USD660mn) in 2016; +6.5% in local currency and -31.6% in US dollar terms. Forecast revised downwards in US dollar terms from last quarter. Mozambique scored 23.8 out of 100 in our Pharmaceutical Risk/Reward Index (RRI) for Q117, unchanged from last quarter. The country’s score is reflective of its small market size (market expenditure score of 2.0 out of 20) and poor regulatory framework. Mozambique scores well below the regional average for every indicator in our index and is ranked the second lowest out of 33 pharmaceutical markets in the Middle East and Africa (MEA) region, sitting between Angola (21.3) and Zimbabwe (25.0).

Table Of Contents

Mozambique Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Forecasts (Mozambique 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
Pharmaceutical Market Forecast 10
Table: Pharmaceutical Sales, Historical Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2012-2020) 12
Healthcare Market Forecast 13
Table: Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2012-2020) 16
Table: Government Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2012-2020) 16
Table: Private Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2012-2020) 16
Industry Risk Reward Index 17
Middle East And Africa Risk/Reward Index - Q1 2017 17
Mozambique Risk/Reward Index 25
Rewards 25
Risks 25
Regulatory Review 26
Regulatory Development 26
Intellectual Property Issues 27
Pricing Regime 27
Market Overview 28
Healthcare Sector 28
Clinical Trials 29
Epidemiology 29
Competitive Landscape 31
Research-Based Industry 31
Pharmaceutical Distribution 31
Pharmaceutical Retail Sector 32
Company Profile 33
Sociedade Moçambicana de Medicamentos (SMM) 33
Demographic Forecast 35
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Mozambique 1990-2025) 36
Table: Key Population Ratios (Mozambique 1990-2025) 36
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Mozambique 1990-2025) 37
Table: Population By Age Group (Mozambique 1990-2025) 37
Table: Population By Age Group % (Mozambique 1990-2025) 38
Glossary 40
Methodology 42
Pharmaceutical Expenditure Forecast Model 42
Healthcare Expenditure Forecast Model 42
Notes On Methodology 43
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 44
Index Overview 45
Table: Pharmaceutical Risk/Reward Index Indicators 45
Indicator Weightings 46

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