Table of Contents
1 Table of CContents 2
1.1 List of Tables 5
1.2 List of Figures 7
2 Executive Summary 8
2.1 Global Carbon Emissions Continue to Increase in 2010-2011 after a Slight Dip in 2009 8
2.2 Global Power Market – Increasing Focus on Clean Technologies 8
2.3 Government Support will continue to Foster the Growth of Global Renewable Power Market 8
2.4 Global Hydropower Market – Moderate Growth Expected During 2012-2025 9
2.5 Electricity Prices in Brazil are among the Highest in the World 10
2.6 Hydropower is the Largest Power Generating Source in the Country 10
3 Introduction 11
3.1 Carbon Emissions, Global, 2001-2010 11
3.2 Primary Energy Consumption, Global, 2001-2025 12
3.3 Report Guidance 14
4 Renewable Power Market, Global, 2001-2025 16
4.1 Renewable Power Market, Global, Overview 16
4.2 Renewable Power Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity, MW, 2001-2025 17
4.3 Renewable Power Market, Global, Power Generation, GWh, 2001-2025 19
4.4 Renewable Power Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity Split by Source Type, %, 2011 21
4.5 Renewable Power Market, Global, Net Capacity Additions by Source Type, MW, 2011-2025 22
4.6 Renewable Power Market, Global, Comparison among Power Sources 23
5 Hydropower Power Market, Global, 2001-2025 24
5.1 Hydropower Market, Global, Overview 24
5.2 Hydropower Market, Global, Installed Capacity, MW, 2001-2025 25
5.3 Hydropower Market, Global, Power Generation, GWh, 2001-2025 26
5.4 Hydropower Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity Growth by Region, MW, 2011-2025 28
5.5 Hydropower Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity Split by Country, %, 2011 29
5.6 Hydropower Market, Global, Net Capacity Additions in Major Countries, MW, 2011-2025 30
5.7 Hydropower Market, Global, Comparison between Key Countries 31
6 Power Market, Brazil, 2001-2025 32
6.1 Power Market, Brazil, Overview 32
6.2 Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity, MW, 2001-2025 32
6.3 Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type, MW, 2001-2025 34
6.4 Power Market, Brazil, Power Generation by Fuel Type, GWh, 2001-2025 36
6.5 Power Market, Brazil, Net Capacity Additions by Source Type, MW, 2011-2025 38
6.6 Power Market, Brazil, Comparison of Power Sources, 2011 39
7 Renewable Power Market, Brazil, 2001-2025 40
7.1 Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Overview 40
7.2 Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Source Type, MW, 2001-2025 41
7.3 Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity Split by Source Type, %, 2011 and 2025 43
7.4 Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Power Generation by Source Type, GWh, 2001-2025 44
7.5 Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Net Capacity Additions by Source Type, MW, 2011-2025 46
7.6 Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Comparison of Renewable Power Sources 47
7.7 Renewable Power Market, Brazil, LCOE Comparison, $/kWh, 2011 48
8 Hydropower Market, Brazil, 2001-2025 49
8.1 Hydropower Market, Brazil, Overview 49
8.2 Hydropower Market, Brazil, Installed Capacity, MW, 2001-2025 50
8.3 Hydropower Market, Brazil, Power Generation, GWh, 2001-2025 52
8.4 Hydro Power Market, Brazil, Split by Hydropower Plant Type 54
8.5 Hydropower Market, Brazil, Average Number of Homes Powered, 2001-2025 55
9 Hydropower Market, Brazil, Deal Analysis 57
9.1 Hydropower Market, Brazil, Deal Value vs Deal Volume, 2004-2011 57
9.2 Hydropower Market, Brazil, Split by Deal Type, %, 2011 58
9.3 Hydropower Market, Brazil, Asset Finance Deals, Brazil vs. Global, 2007-2011 59
10 Renewable Energy Policy Framework, Brazil 60
10.1 Financial Incentives and Policy Support for Renewable Energy Sources, Brazil, Major Policies 60
10.1.1 Program of Incentives for Alternative Electricity Sources – Programa de Incentivo a Fontes Alternativas de Energia Elétrica – PROINFA 60
10.1.2 Alternative Energy Auction LFA-2010 and Reserve Energy Auction LER-2010 66
10.1.3 Brazil National Climate Change Plan 66
10.1.4 Luz Para Todos (Light for All) Electrification Program 67
10.2 Financial Incentives and Policy Support for Hydro Power, Brazil, Major Policies 68
10.2.1 International Action Program (IAP), Brazil's Hydropower Program 68
10.2.2 Incentives for Small Hydro Facilities, Law no. 9648 68
11 Hydropower Market, Brazil, Company Analysis 69
11.1 Company Snapshot: Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras S.A 69
11.1.1 Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras S.A, Company Overview 69
11.1.2 Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras S.A, Business Overview 69
11.1.3 Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras S.A, Major Products and Services 71
11.1.4 Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras S.A, SWOT Analysis 71
11.1.5 Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras S.A, Locations and Subsidiaries 74
11.2 Company Snapshot: Companhia Energetica de Minas Gerais 75
11.2.1 Companhia Energetica de Minas Gerais, Company Overview 75
11.2.2 Companhia Energetica de Minas Gerais, Business Overview 75
11.2.3 Companhia Energetica de Minas Gerais, Major Products and Services 76
11.2.4 Companhia Energetica de Minas Gerais, SWOT Analysis 76
11.2.5 Companhia Energetica de Minas Gerais, Locations and Subsidiaries 80
11.3 Company Snapshot: Neoenergia S.A. 81
11.3.1 Neoenergia S.A., Company Overview 81
11.3.2 Neoenergia S.A., Business Overview 81
11.3.3 Neoenergia S.A., Major Products and Services 82
11.3.4 Neoenergia S.A., SWOT Analysis 82
11.3.5 Neoenergia S.A., Locations and Subsidiaries 85
11.4 Company Snapshot: Andritz Hydro GmbH 87
11.4.1 Andritz Hydro GmbH, Company Overview 87
11.4.2 Andritz Hydro GmbH, Business Overview 87
11.4.3 Andritz Hydro GmbH, Major Products and Services 89
11.4.4 Andritz Hydro GmbH, Locations and Subsidiaries 90
12 Appendix 91
12.1 Abbreviations 91
12.2 Market Definitions 91
12.3 Methodology 92
12.3.1 Secondary Research 92
12.3.2 Primary Research 93
12.3.3 Modeling and Forecasting 93
12.3.4 Market Estimates and Assumptions 93
12.3.5 Contact Us 94
12.3.6 Disclaimer 94
List of Tables
Table 1: Carbon Emissions, Global, MMT, 2001-2011 12
Table 2: Primary Energy Consumption, Global, Mtoe, 2001-2025 14
Table 3: Renewable Power Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type, MW, 2001–2025 18
Table 4: Renewable Power Market, Global, Power Generation by Fuel Type, GWh, 2001–2025 20
Table 5: Renewable Power Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity Split by Source Type, %, 2001–2025 21
Table 6: Renewable Power Market, Global, Net Capacity Additions by Source Type, MW, 2011–2025 22
Table 7: Hydropower Market, Global, Installed Capacity, MW, 2001–2025 26
Table 8: Hydropower Market, Global, Power Generation, GWh, 2001–2025 27
Table 9: Hydropower Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity Split by Country, %, 2011 29
Table 10: Hydropower Market, Global, Net Capacity Additions in Major Countries, MW, 2011–2025 30
Table 11: Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity, MW, 2001–2025 33
Table 12: Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type, MW, 2001–2025 35
Table 13: Power Market, Brazil, Power Generation by Fuel Type, GWh, 2001–2025 37
Table 14: Power Market, Brazil, Net Capacity Additions by Source Type, MW, 2011–2025 38
Table 15: Power Market, Brazil, Comparison Between Power Sources, 2011–2025 39
Table 16: Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity, MW, 2001–2025 42
Table 17: Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity Split by Source Type, %, 2011 and 2025 43
Table 18: Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Power Generation by Source Type, GWh, 2001–2025 45
Table 19: Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Net Capacity Additions by Source Type, MW, 2011–2025 46
Table 20: Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Comparison of Renewable Power Sources, 2011 47
Table 21: Hydropower Market, Brazil, Installed Capacity, MW, 2001–2025 51
Table 22: Hydropower Market, Brazil, Power Generation, GWh, 2001–2025 53
Table 23: Hydro Power Market, Brazil, Split by Hydropower Plant Type 54
Table 24: Hydropower Market, Brazil, Average Number of Homes Powered, Million, 2001–2025 56
Table 25: Hydropower Market, Brazil, Deal Value vs. Deal Volume, 2004-2011 57
Table 26: Hydropower Market, Brazil, Asset Finance Deals, In Brazil vs. Global, 2007-2011 59
Table 27: PROINFA Implementation Under Phase One, Brazil, BID code 06/04 for 3,300 MW, 2006-2011 61
Table 28: PROINFA, Brazil, A-3 Energy Auctions, 2011 62
Table 29: PROINFA, Brazil, A-3 Energy Auctions, Technology Share by Investments, 2011 63
Table 30: PROINFA, Brazil, A-5 Energy Auctions, 2011 64
Table 31: PROINFA, Brazil, A-5 Energy Auctions, Technology Share by Investments, 2011 65
Table 32: Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras S.A, Major Products and Services 71
Table 33: Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras S.A, SWOT Analysis 71
Table 34: Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras S.A, Other Locations and Subsidiaries 74
Table 35: Companhia Energetica de Minas Gerais, Major Products and Services 76
Table 36: Companhia Energetica de Minas Gerais, SWOT Analysis 76
Table 37: China Datang Corporation, Other Locations and Subsidiaries 81
Table 38: Neoenergia S.A., Major Products and Services 82
Table 39: Neoenergia S.A., SWOT Analysis 83
Table 40: Dongfang Electric Corporation Limited Subsidiaries 86
Table 41: Andritz Hydro GmbH, Major Products and Services 89
Table 42: Andritz Hydro GmbH, Subsidiaries 90
Table 43: Abbreviations 91
Table 44: LCOE Calculation, Discount Rates by Technology 94
List of Figures
Figure 1: Hydropower Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity, MW, 2001-2025 9
Figure 2: Carbon Emissions, Global, MMT, 2001-2011 12
Figure 3: Primary Energy Consumption, Global, Mtoe, 2001-2025 13
Figure 4: Renewable Power Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type MW, 2001–2025 17
Figure 5: Renewable Power Market, Global, Power Generation by Fuel Type, GWh, 2001–2025 19
Figure 6: Renewable Power Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity Split by Source Type, %, 2001–2025 21
Figure 7: Renewable Power Market, Global, Net Capacity Additions by Source Type, MW, 2011–2025 22
Figure 8: Renewable Power Market, Global, Comparison among Power Sources 23
Figure 9: Hydropower Market, Global, Installed Capacity, MW, 2001–2025 25
Figure 10: Hydropower Market, Global, Power Generation, GWh, 2001–2025 27
Figure 11: Hydropower Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity Growth by Region, MW, 2011-2025 28
Figure 12: Hydropower Market, Global, Cumulative Installed Capacity Split by Country, %, 2011 29
Figure 13: Hydropower Market, Global, Net Capacity Additions in Major Countries, MW, 2011–2025 30
Figure 14: Hydropower Market, Global, Comparison Between Key Countries 31
Figure 15: Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity, MW, 2001–2025 33
Figure 16: Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type, MW, 2001–2025 34
Figure 17: Power Market, Brazil, Power Generation by Fuel Type, GWh, 2001–2025 36
Figure 18: Power Market, Brazil, Net Capacity Additions by Source Type, MW, 2011–2025 38
Figure 19: Power Market, Brazil, Comparison Between Power Sources, 2011–2025 39
Figure 20: Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity, MW, 2001–2025 41
Figure 21: Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Cumulative Installed Capacity Split by Source Type, %, 2011 and 2025 43
Figure 22: Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Power Generation by Source Type, MW, 2001–2025 44
Figure 23: Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Net Capacity Additions by Source Type, MW, 2011–2025 46
Figure 24: Renewable Power Market, Brazil, Comparison of Renewable Power Sources, 2011 47
Figure 25: Renewable Power Market, Brazil, LCOE Comparison, $/kWh, 2011 48
Figure 26: Hydropower Market, Brazil, Installed Capacity, MW, 2001–2025 50
Figure 27: Hydropower Market, Brazil, Power Generation, GWh, 2001–2025 52
Figure 28: Hydro Power Market, Brazil, Split by Hydropower Plant Type 54
Figure 29: Hydropower Market, Brazil, Average Number of Homes Powered, Million, 2001–2025 55
Figure 30: Hydropower Market, Brazil, Deal Value vs. Deal Volume, 2004-2011 57
Figure 31: Hydropower Market, Brazil, Split by Deal Type, %, 2011 58
Figure 32: Hydropower Market, Brazil, Split by Deal Type, %, 2011 58
Figure 33: Hydropower Market, Brazil, Asset Finance Deals, Brazil vs. Global, 2007-2011 59
Figure 34: PROINFA, Brazil, A-3 Energy Auctions, 2011 62
Figure 35: PROINFA, Brazil, A-3 Energy Auctions, Technology Share by Investments, 2011 63
Figure 36: PROINFA, Brazil, A-5 Energy Auctions, 2011 64
Figure 37: PROINFA, Brazil, A-5 Energy Auctions, Technology Share by Investments, 2011 65
Companies Mentioned
Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras S.A
Companhia Energetica de Minas Gerais
Neoenergia S.A.
Andritz Hydro GmbH