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  5. > United Kingdom Renewables Report Q1 2017

United Kingdom Renewables Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 69 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:

The decision to not include onshore wind and solar power in the second CfD auction, on the back of a series of subsidy cuts for the technologies over 2015, supports our muted growth outlook for the UK non-hydropower renewables sector. While offshore wind power will continue to register robust growth, as a result of continued robust government support, we do stress that there is scope for delays to projects that have not progressed far in the project pipeline amid Brexit-incurred policy uncertainty.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends



- On October 18, the UK’s National Audit Office announced that it expected the UK to overshoot its spending cap for renewables subsidies by GBP1.7bn for 2020/2021 - with total cost set to hit GBP8.7bn. While this is GBP400mn lower than initial forecasts, we continue to expect such cost overruns to cement the austerity strategy that has been advocated by the Conservative majority government that has been in power since May 2015.

Table Of Contents

United Kingdom Renewables Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Renewables Headline Forecasts (United Kingdom 2015-2021) 7
Latest Updates And Structural Trends 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
United Kingdom Renewables Forecast Scenario 11
Previous Subsidy Cuts Take The Sting Out Of Brexit 11
Latest Updates 15
Table: Less Punitive Small-Scale Solar FiT Cuts 32
Table: Capacity Caps For FiT Access To Curb Growth 33
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (United Kingdom 2014-2019) 39
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (United Kingdom 2020-2025) 39
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (United Kingdom 2014-2019) 41
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (United Kingdom 2020-2025) 42
United Kingdom Renewables Projects Database 43
Table: United Kingdom - Top 10 Renewables Projects By Capacity (MW) 43
Industry Risk Reward Index 44
United Kingdom Renewables Risk/Reward Index 44
Rewards 44
Risks 45
Market Overview 47
Sustainable Energy Policy and Infrastructure 47
Targets 47
Table: Carbon Plan Budget Targets 48
Subsidies 49
Table: Softened Solar Cuts Still Punitive 49
Table: CfD Auction System Round Two 51
Infrastructure 52
Table: Planned Interconnections Will Boost Power Supply 57
Competitive Landscape 58
EDF Energy 58
E ON 58
RWE npower 60
Scottish Power 60
SSE 61
DONG Energy 61
Glossary 63
Table: Glossary Of Terms 63
Methodology 64
Methodology And Sources 64
Industry Forecast Methodology 64
Sources 66
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 66
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Index Indicators 68
Table: Weighting Indicators 69

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