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Kazakhstan & Uzbekistan Autos Report 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 36 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: A combination of a still-sluggish economy and a weakening currency will lead to furtherchallenges for the Kazakh new vehicle sales market in 2016 We are forecasting 2% sales growth for thesector as a whole, with commercial vehicles set to outperform passenger cars For Uzbekistan, the neartermoutlook is also challenging and we are forecasting 15% sales growth for the sector, with commercialvehicles again set to outperform passenger cars

Key Views

- The year 2015 has been a challenging one for both the Kazakh and the Uzbek auto industry

- Media reports have suggested that many Kazakhs have been travelling to neighbouring Russia to buy newvehicles, certainly during the early part of 2015, when the rouble was weakening sharply against allglobal currencies, including the tenge

- Although we expect another difficult year for Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan auto sales in 2016, we remainupbeat on the prospects for both markets over the long term
- Demographic trends are favourable and car ownership rates per capita remain low

Table Of Contents

Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan Autos Report 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Key Views 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Table: Historical Data And Forecasts 11
Latest Developments 11
Kazakhstan - Sales 11
Kazakhstan - Production 12
Kazakhstan - Trade 13
Uzbekistan - Sales 14
Table: Historical Data And Forecasts 14
Uzbekistan - Trade 16
Passenger Cars 17
Table: Historical Data And Forecasts 17
Latest Developments - Kazakhstan 17
Table: Kazakhstan, Top-Selling Light Vehicle Brands, 10M15 17
Table: Historical Data And Forecasts 18
Latest Developments - Uzbekistan 18
Commercial Vehicles 19
Table: Historical Data And Forecasts 19
Latest Developments 19
Table: Kazakhstan, Top-Selling CV Brands, 10M15 20
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 21
Europe - Risk/Reward Index 21
Russia Too Risky To Realise Potential 21
Developed States Show Signs Of Risk 22
Trouble Spots Marked By High Risk Position 22
Company Profile 23
GM Uzbekistan 23
AziaAVTO 24
Regional Overview 25
Table: Emerging Europe - Autos Production Investment 25
Demographic Forecast 28
Demographic Outlook 28
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Kazakhstan 1990-2025) 29
Table: Key Population Ratios (Kazakhstan 1990-2025) 29
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Kazakhstan 1990-2025) 30
Table: Population By Age Group (Kazakhstan 1990-2025) 30
Table: Population By Age Group % (Kazakhstan 1990-2025) 31
Methodology 33
Industry Forecasts 33
Sector-Specific Methodology 34
Sources 34
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 35
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 36

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