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  5. > Mexico Renewables Report Q2 2016

Mexico Renewables Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 44 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Mexico is making considerable progress in its renewables expansion and we are maintainingour largely positive 10-year forecasts for the growth in renewables capacity owing to the positivefundamentals across the industry. That said, we believe that the expansion in the country's solar sector willremain below its considerable potential until the government takes steps to mitigate regulatory uncertaintyand improve the sector's operating environment.

Latest Updates and Structural Trends

- Growth in Mexico's non-hydro renewables industry continued to accelerate in 2015, registering 25.5%year-on-year (y-o-y) expansion in capacity and 22.4% rise in generation. We anticipate non-hydrorenewables capacity to grow by annual average rate of 13.5% between 2016 and 2025, more than triplingthe total installed capacity base to 16.4GW in 2025. However, this will still account for just 16.9% of thecountry's total generation capacity.

- Expansion in the Mexican solar power sector will remain below its considerable potential until thegovernment takes steps to mitigate regulatory uncertainty and improve the sector's operatingenvironment, which is clouded by a 15% import tariff on solar panels and the country's currencydepreciation. In light of these hurdles, our growth forecast for Mexico's solar power capacity through2020 is conservative relative to the pipeline of projects holding power generation permits.

Table Of Contents

Mexico Renewables Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Renewables Headline Forecasts (Mexico 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Mexico Renewables Forecast Scenario 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 12
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2019) 24
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2020-2025) 25
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2019) 26
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2020-2025) 27
Mexico Renewables Projects Database 28
Table: Mexico - Top 10 Renewables Projects By Capacity (MW) 28
Industry Risk/Reward Index 30
Mexico Risk/Reward Index 30
Rewards 30
Risks 30
Market Overview 32
Sustainable Energy Policy and Infrastructure 32
Targets 32
Subsidies 32
Infrastructure 33
Competitive Landscape 34
Comisión Federal de Electricidad 34
Acciona Energia Mexico 35
Iberdrola 35
Gamesa Corporación Technólgica 35
Vestas Wind Systems 36
Glossary 38
Table: Glossary Of Terms 38
Methodology 39
Methodology And Sources 39
Industry Forecast Methodology 39
Sources 41
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 41
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Index Indicators 43
Table: Weighting Indicators 44

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