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Nordics Renewables Report Q2 2015

  • March 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 51 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

This quarter we have extended our forecast to 2024. This notwithstanding, our projections for non-hydropower renewable energy generation in Denmark, Finland and Sweden are largely unchanged, as our fundamental assumption for the Nordic markets considered in the report remain unvaried. Key projects in the region continue to progress in line with our expectations, with Denmark's progressive loss of its energy self-sufficient status likely to lead the country to a greater focus on the prompt development of renewables. We also note that Sweden's possible phase-out of nuclear energy could jeopardise the reliability of the system, while pushing the country towards a larger share of renewable generation.

Key Trends And Developments

- The incoming Social Democrats and Green Party in Sweden have announced a coalition agreement to phase out nuclear power developments and focus on renewables instead. If the plan is approved this will create opportunities for players in the renewable space and create upside potential for our forecast. It should be noted, however, that a change to Sweden's long-term energy strategy is likely to require support from the conservative opposition, thus introducing uncertainty - a point highlighted by Vattenfall's decision to stop all preparations for the construction of new nuclear power plants in the country.

Table Of Contents

Nordics Renewables Report Q2 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Nordics Renewables Forecast Scenario 10
Table: Denmark's Total Electricity Generation, Historical Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018 10
Table: Denmark's Total Electricity Generation, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024 11
Table: Denmark's Electricity Generating Capacity, Historical Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018 13
Table: Denmark's Electricity Generating Capacity, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024 14
Table: Finland's Total Electricity Generation, Historical Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018 15
Table: Finland's Total Electricity Generation, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024 17
Table: Finland's Electricity Generating Capacity, Historical Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018 18
Table: Finland's Electricity Generating Capacity, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024 19
Table: Sweden's Total Electricity Generation, Historical Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018 21
Table: Sweden's Total Electricity Generation, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024 22
Table: Sweden's Electricity Generating Capacity, Historical Data And Forecasts, 2013-2018 25
Table: Sweden's Electricity Generating Capacity, Long-Term Forecasts, 2019-2024 26
Nordics Renewables Projects Database 31
Denmark 31
Table: Major Projects - Renewables 31
Finland 32
Table: Major Projects - Renewables 32
Sweden 34
Table: Major Projects - Renewables 34
Industry Risk Reward Index 36
Nordics Renewables Risk/Reward Index 36
Rewards 36
Risks 37
Market Overview 38
Sustainable Energy Policy And Infrastructure 38
Targets (Renewables And Emissions) 38
Subsidies 39
Table: Denmark's Renewable Feed-In Tariffs, 2012 39
Table: Finland's Renewable Feed-In Tariffs, 2011 40
Infrastructure 41
Competitive Landscape 42
Dong Energy 42
Vattenfall 43
E.ON 43
Vestas 43
Energinet.dk 44
Glossary 45
Table: Glossary Of Terms 45
Methodology 46
Methodology And Sources 46
Industry Forecast Methodology 46
Sources 48
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 48
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Index Indicators 50
Table: Weighting Indicators 51

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