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West Africa Mining Report Q2 2016

  • February 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 92 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:
West Africa's growth outlook will weaken on the back of continued mineral price weakness, inadequate infrastructure and the aftermath of the Ebola outbreak over the coming quarters. The region's long-term growth outlook remains promising due to countries' vast untapped mineral reserves, positive foreign investment outlook and infrastructure developments.


Latest Developments & Structural Trends
- In 2015, Rusal announced the signing of a Multi-User Operation Agreement on existing railway infrastructure at the Company's Dian-Dian project in Guinea. The Agreement allows the transportation of bauxite, including that mined at Dian-Dian, using the existing railway infrastructure in the Boke province and creates an environment for the further development of project transport infrastructure.
- Guinea's iron ore production will be supported by Rio Tinto's partnership with the Guinean government to construct a maritime terminal and the 'Trans-Guinean Railway'. The railway will link south-east
Guinea with the coast along the Southern Growth Corridor and will be essential for iron ore transport from the Simandou mine.

Table Of Contents

West Africa Mining Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View ... 7
Table: Select Countries - Mining Industry Forecast . . 7
Latest Developments and Structural Trends . 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast .. 11
Guinea Bauxite: Set For Solid Growth . 11
Latest Developments ... 11
Table: Guinea - Bauxite Production and Growth . . 11
Table: Guinea - New Projects . . 12
Structural Trends ... 13
Political Risks To Outlook ... 15
Guinea Iron Ore: Modest Growth Ahead .. 16
Latest Developments ... 16
Table: Guinea - Iron Ore Production and Growth . 16
Structural Trends ... 16
Table: Guinea - New Iron Ore Projects . 18
Risk To Outlook . 20
Sierra Leone: Growth To Recover In The Long Term .. 21
Latest Developments ... 21
Table: Sierra Leone - Iron Ore Production and Growth . 21
Structural Trends ... 22
Mauritania: Gold To Contract, Iron Ore To Be Weak . 25
Latest Developments ... 25
Table: Mauritania - Mine Production and Growth . 25
Structural Trends ... 26
Price Weakness To Subdue Investment Outlook 28
Table: Mauritania - New Iron Ore Mining Projects 29
Infrastructure Weakness To Dampen Growth Outlook ... 30
Côte d'Ivoire Gold: New Projects To Support Growth . 31
Latest Developments ... 31
Table: Cote d'Ivoire - Gold Production Forecast 31
Table: Côte d'Ivoire - Largest Gold Projects . . 31
Structural Trends ... 32
Liberia Iron Ore: Weak Prices To Dent Growth 35
Latest Developments ... 35
Table: Liberia - Iron Ore Production Forecast and Growth 35
Table: Liberia - New Iron Ore Projects . 36
Structural Trends ... 37
Business Environment To Remain Relatively Stable .. 39
Mali Gold: Growth To Pick Up Beyond 2018 40
Latest Developments ... 40
Table: Mali - Gold Production Forecast 40
Structural Trends ... 41
Ghana Gold: Price Weakness To Subdue Growth .. 43
Latest Developments ... 43
Table: Ghana - Gold Production and Growth 43
Structural Trends ... 43
Government Shows No Sign of Easing Taxes ... 46
Industry Risk Reward Ratings .. 49
Guinea Risk/Reward Ratings . 49
Rewards ... 49
Industry Rewards ... 49
Country Rewards ... 49
Risks 49
Industry Risks 49
Country Risks 50
Liberia Risk/Reward Index 50
Rewards ... 50
Industry Rewards ... 50
Country Rewards ... 50
Risks 50
Industry Risks 50
Country Risks 51
Africa: Major Risks Remain ... 51
Key Takeaways .. 51
Latest Revisions . 52
Table: Africa - Mining Risk/Reward Index . 54
Regulatory Development .. 55
Commodities Forecast . 59
Commodities Outlook ... 59
Table: BMI Commodities Price Forecasts . . 59
Competitive Landscape 60
Table: West Africa: Key Mining Companies' Financial Metrics 60
Structural Trends: .. 61
Company Profile 62
Global Company Strategy - Randgold Resources - Q2 2016 . 62
Latest Financial Results .. 66
Table: Randgold Resources - Key Financial Data . . 67
Global Company Strategy - AngloGold Ashanti - Q2 2016 ... 68
Overview .. 69
Strategy 69
Risks 70
Latest Results 71
Table: AngloGold Ashanti - Key Financial Data . 72
Global Company Strategy - Rio Tinto - Q2 2016 73
Company Overview 75
Company Strategy .. 76
Table: Rio Tinto - Key Projects . 79
Latest Financial Results .. 79
Table: Rio Tinto - Key Financial Data . . 80
Regional Overview 82
Table: SSA - Government Involvement In Mining Sector . 87
Methodology .. 89
Industry Forecast Methodology 89
Sources 90
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 91
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 92

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