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The Mexican Wind Power Generation Market

  • April 2013
  • 57 pages
  • Frost & Sullivan
Report ID: 1172019

Summary

Table of Contents

Renewable Energy Presents Significant Opportunities

Wind resources in Mexico present significant potential of about 50 gigawatts (GW). The private sector is increasingly involved in the sponsorship and operation of wind farms due to government efforts, and more companies are generating their own electricity. This research service covers market for wind power generation. Market drivers and restraints are discussed. Forecasts are included for installed capacity, average price per megawatt (MW) of installed capacity, and investments to 2018. An analysis of the competitive landscape is offered. Furthermore, the future trends are discussed. The base year is 2012.

Executive Summary

• The Energy Regulatory Commission (CRE) is responsible for the electricity sector in Mexico. Based on the current legal framework, the private sector can participate in power generation through six modalities*: Self-supply, Cogeneration, Independent power producer (IPP), Small production, Export, and Import
• Therefore, companies in the private sector can be energy producers for self-consumption, exportation, or sales to the CFE; the CFE can then sell this energy to its customers.
• In 2012, Mexico had X GW of total installed capacity for power generation: X GW were available for public use (CFE and contracted capacity under the IPP modality), and X GW were available to other permit holders. Of the total power generation capacity, renewable resources comprised XGW, or X%.
• The total operational installed capacity for wind power in Mexico in 2012 was about X MW, with X permits and X operational projects. Oaxaca comprised X%, orX MW, of the country’s total installed capacity for wind power; other operational projects are located in Chiapas, with XMW, and Baja California, with X MW.
• From 2013 to 2014, X additional wind power permits are scheduled to become operational. In 2013, X MW of installed capacity are expected to be operational, and the remaining XMW are expected to be operational by the end of 2014.
• Since 1998, the CRE has granted at least X permits for wind power generation, and these permits account for XMW of installed capacity and X gigawatts per hour (GWh) of authorized energy production.
- The X permits for X operational projects comprise X MW of installed capacity and X GWh of energy production.
- A total of X MW of installed capacity and X GWh of energy production are under construction, and this correlates to X permits.
- The remaining X permits authorizeX MW of installed capacity and X GWh of energy production.
• Permits have been granted in the following states:
- 20 in Oaxaca
- 4 in Baja California
- 3 in Nuevo León
- 3 in Tamaulipas
- 1 in San Luis Potosi
- 1 in Veracruz
- 1 in Chiapas
• A breakdown by power-generation modality shows:
- 25 permits for self-suppliers
- 2 permits for small production
- 5 permits for IPPs
- 1 permit for exports

CEO’s Perspective

1. Total installed capacity for wind power generation is expected to grow X% by the end of the forecast period.
2. Investments totaling $X billion are expected from 2013 to 2018 for the installation of XMW.
3. By 2018, more thanX% of the installed capacity will have originated in Chiapas and Baja California.
4. The market concentration of turbine manufacturers is expected to decrease in the forecast period.
5. Significant opportunities exist for maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) companies.

Key Questions This Study Will Answer

• Is the market for wind power generation growing, how long will it continue to grow, and at what rate?
• What are the best market opportunities in the country?
• Which are the most important regions for the development of the wind power market in Mexico?
• Which industries will be positively affected due to increases in installed capacity for wind power?
• Where are the main opportunities for related industries located?
• What are the main challenges, drivers, and restraints for the wind power generation market?

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