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Analyzing CSP in Emerging Markets

  • May 2013
  • -
  • Aruvian's R'search
  • -
  • 180 pages

Amidst a rapidly changing energy landscape, the concentrated solar power (CSP) sector is battling to secure a foothold as a competitive renewable technology. Confronted with sustained low natural gas prices, increased competition from other renewable technologies, and long development leads times, the pressure has increased significantly for the CSP industry lately. However, CSP maintains advantages that support recent high profile acquisitions by traditional power players and continued global development activity. More significantly, the range of technology choices and applications - electricity generation, integrated solar combined cycle, industrial steam, and enhanced oil recovery - underpin CSP’s attractiveness. CSP technology’s demand for high solar resources and long development timeline is forcing developers to leave no stone unturned. Far from sustainable growth, CSP competition in emerging markets is largely fragmented and driven by disparate opportunities.

In the emerging markets, competition among parabolic trough system integrators to supply the requests for proposals (RFPs) by state-owned entities, such as Abu Dhabi Water & Electricity Authority and Morocco’s Office National de l’Electricite (ONE), has become heated. Seeking every opportunity to install systems, parabolic trough system integrators are taking advantage of their proven status to win bids. At this early stage, the landscape has evolved into several key market categories: southern European countries (Italy, France, Greece, and Croatia) broadening their renewables footprints on the heels of Spain’s rapid build-out; fossil-fuel–dependent countries (Middle East, South Africa, Australia) with high solar insulation looking to diversify their energy mixes; and high power demand countries (e.g., China and India) capable of following an industrial development strategy.

The future trends are increasingly pointing towards a much more internationalized industry with several projects under construction in other promising new markets. The table below details the extent of development of each geographical market including currently operational, in construction and proposed plants. The industry is starting to indigenize very heavily in countries such as India. As own local technologies are been researched and deployed, the industry in emerging markets will become increasingly open and the hold of a limited number of experienced companies and suppliers will loosen. As many as 8 tube receiver manufacturers are springing up in China for example, and Fresnel technologies are going big scale in India and Australia. The game is changing.

Emerging markets such as India, South Africa, Australia and Saudi Arabia will therefore play a vital role in the growth and sustenance of the CSP industry. Others countries have also shown interest towards CSP and may contribute to its market expansion.

Aruvian Research analyzes the Market for Concentrated Solar Power in the Emerging Markets of Australia, China, India and South Africa. This research report is a comprehensive analytical compilation which analyzes the global emerging markets for CSP.

The report begins with an analysis of what is concentrated solar power (CSP) and the requirement for CSP in today's world. We look at the types of CSP technologies that are available today such as central receiver/solar tower, parabolic troughs, parabolic dish, Linear Fresnel reflectors, etc.

Moving on, we analyze the global market for concentrated solar power briefly. We look at industry statistics, industry size and power generation from CSP worldwide.

Concentrated solar power in the Emerging Markets of Australia, China, India and South Africa is analyzed through an industry overview, power generated from CSP in these markets and the major CSP projects in these countries. Regulatory framework governing CSP is analyzed for all the markets as well. We also analyze the major industry trends and challenges facing the development of CSP in these emerging markets.

Competition in the industry and an analysis of the major players wraps up this analytical offering on the concentrated solar power industry in emerging markets.

Table Of Contents

Analyzing CSP in Emerging Markets
Table of Contents

A. Executive Summary

B. Introduction to Concentrated Solar Power (CSP)
B.1 Historical Perspective of Concentrating Solar Power
B.2 Theories Behind Solar Thermal Power Conversion
B.3 Conversion of Solar Heat into Electricity
B.4 Requirement for Concentrating Solar Power
B.4.1 Sustaining the Ecosystem
B.4.2 Sustaining the Economics

C. Types of CSP Technologies
C.1 Technological Overview
C.2 Analysis of Central Receiver or Solar Tower
C.3 Analysis of Parabolic Troughs
C.4 Analysis of Parabolic Dish
C.5 Linear Fresnel Reflectors

D. Global Market for Concentrated Solar Power
D.1 Industry Overview
D.2 Industry Size
D.3 Power Generation from Concentrated Solar Power

E. Concentrated Solar Power in Emerging Markets
E.1 Industry Overview
E.2 Power Generation from CSP in Other Markets

F. Concentrated Solar Power in Australia
F.1 Industry Overview
F.2 Power Generation from CSP in Australia
F.3 Regulatory Framework
F.4 Major CSP Projects in Australia
F.4.1 Kogan Creek Solar Boost
F.4.2 Lake Cargelligo
F.4.3 Liddell Power Station

G. Concentrated Solar Power in China
G.1 Industry Overview
G.2 Power Generation from CSP in China
G.3 Regulatory Framework
G.4 Major CSP Projects in China
G.4.1 Beijing Badaling Solar Tower
G.4.2 Supcon Solar Project

H. Concentrated Solar Power in India
H.1 Industry Overview
H.2 Power Generation from CSP in India
H.3 Regulatory Framework
H.4 Major CSP Projects in India
H.4.1 Abhijeet Solar Project
H.4.2 ACME Solar Tower
H.4.3 Dhursar
H.4.4 Diwakar
H.4.5 Godawari Solar Project
H.4.6 Gujarat Solar One
H.4.7 KVK Energy Solar Project
H.4.8 Megha Solar Plant

I. Concentrated Solar Power in South Africa
I.1 Industry Overview
I.2 Power Generation from CSP in South Africa
I.3 Regulatory Framework
I.4 Major CSP Projects in South Africa
I.4.1 Bokpoort
I.4.2 KaXu Solar One
I.4.3 Khi Solar One

J. Industry Trends and Challenges
J.1 Overview of Trends
J.2 Challenge of Grid Connectivity
J.3 Regulatory Support and Renewable Portfolio Standards
J.4 Financial Incentives
J.5 Project Cancellations
J.6 Associated Costs

K. Competition in the Industry and Major Players
K.1 Competition in the Industry
K.2 Abengoa Solar SA
K.3 Acciona Solar
K.4 Aleo Solar
K.5 Amonix
K.6 Acciona Energia
K.7 Ascent Solar Technologies
K.8 Abound Solar
K.9 BP Solar
K.10 BrightSource Industries
K.11 BSR Solar Technologies
K.12 China Sunergy
K.13 Coolearth Solar
K.14 eSolar, Inc.
K.15 Evergreen Solar
K.16 First Solar, Inc
K.17 HelioVolt
K.18 Florida Power and Light Company
K.19 Konarka Technologies
K.20 Kyocera Solar
K.21 Lanco Solar
K.22 Nanosolar
K.23 Solel Solar Systems
K.24 Suntech
K.25 Solar Millennium AG
K.26 Trina Solar Energy

L. Appendix

M. Glossary of Terms



List of Figures

Figure 1: Central Receiver or Solar Tower
Figure 2: Capital Cost Estimate of Solar Tower Systems (%), 2012
Figure 3: Parabolic Trough
Figure 4: Capital Cost Estimate of Parabolic Trough Systems (%), 2012
Figure 5: Parabolic Dish
Figure 6: Global Market for CSP (DNI) (kWh/m2 Per Day), 2012
Figure 7: Global CSP Market in Terms of Installed Capacity (in MW), 2012-2020
Figure 8: Global Market for CSP Industry Size (in USD Billion), 2012-2020
Figure 9: Global Power Generation from CSP (in GWh), 2012-2020
Figure 10: Installed Capacity of CSP in Other Markets (in MW), 2012-2020
Figure 11: Power Generated from CSP in Other Markets (in GWh), 2012-2020
Figure 12: Market for CSP in Australia (DNI) (kWh/m2) Per Day
Figure 13: Installed Capacity of CSP in Australia (in MW), 2012-2020
Figure 14: Power Generated from CSP in Australia (in GWh), 2012-2020
Figure 15: DNI Range in China (in kWh/m2 Per Day)
Figure 16: Installed Capacity of CSP in China (in MW), 2012-2020
Figure 17: Power Generated from CSP in China (in GWh), 2012-2020
Figure 18: DNI Range in India (kWh/m2 Per Day)
Figure 19: Installed Capacity of CSP in India (in MW), 2012-2020
Figure 20: Power Generated from CSP in India (in GWh), 2012-2020
Figure 21: DNI Range in South Africa (kWh/m2 Per Day)
Figure 22: Installed Capacity of CSP in South Africa (in MW), 2012-2020
Figure 23: Power Generated from CSP in South Africa (in GWh), 2012-2020
Figure 24: Market Share of Major Players in the Global CSP Market (%), 2012
Figure 25: Parabolic Trough Power Plant with Hot and Cold Tank Thermal Storage System and Oil Steam Generator
Figure 26: Schematic Arrangement of a PV Cell
Figure 27: Solar Parabolic Trough System Combined with Fossil Fuel Firing to Generate Electrical Power
Figure 28: A Central Receiver Solar Thermal System
Figure 29: Solar Pond
Figure 30: Integrated Solar/Combined Cycle System (ISCC)
Figure 31: Flow Diagram of Solar Field, Storage System and Steam Cycle at the AndaSol-1 Project, Southern Spain
Figure 32: Manufacturing Share of PV by Country in 2012
Figure 33: Solar RFC Power System
Figure 34: Space Application of RFC Power System



List of Tables

Table 1: Early Solar Thermal Power Plants
Table 2: Cost Reductions in Parabolic Trough Solar Thermal Power Plants
Table 3: Pros and Cons of Each Technology
Table 4: Global CSP Market in Terms of Installed Capacity (in MW), 2012-2020
Table 5: Global Market for CSP Industry Size (in USD Billion), 2012-2020
Table 6: Global Power Generation from CSP (in GWh), 2012-2020
Table 7: Installed Capacity of CSP in Other Markets (in MW), 2012-2020
Table 8: Power Generated from CSP in Other Markets (in GWh), 2012-2020
Table 9: Installed Capacity of CSP in Australia (in MW), 2012-2020
Table 10: Power Generated from CSP in Australia (in GWh), 2012-2020
Table 11: Solar Homes and Communities Plan in Australia
Table 12: Solar Feed-in Programs by States in Australia
Table 13: Installed Capacity of CSP in China (in MW), 2012-2020
Table 14: Power Generated from CSP in China (in GWh), 2012-2020
Table 15: Installed Capacity of CSP in India (in MW), 2012-2020
Table 16: Power Generated from CSP in India (in GWh), 2012-2020
Table 17: Off Grid Renewable Energy Programs in India
Table 18: Grid Interactive Renewable Energy Programs in India
Table 19: Interest Rates for Soft Loans on Solar Water Heating Systems
Table 20: Installed Capacity of CSP in South Africa (in MW), 2012-2020
Table 21: Power Generated from CSP in South Africa (in GWh), 2012-2020
Table 22: Tariffs in Renewable Energy Industry in South Africa
Table 23: Key Characteristics of Major Players, 2012
Table 24: Early Solar Thermal Power Plants
Table 25: Cost Reductions in Parabolic Trough Solar Thermal Power Plants





Companies Mentioned

Abengoa Solar SA
Acciona Solar
Aleo Solar
Amonix
Acciona Energia
Ascent Solar Technologies
Abound Solar
BP Solar
BrightSource Industries
BSR Solar Technologies
China Sunergy
Coolearth Solar
eSolar, Inc.
Evergreen Solar
First Solar, Inc
HelioVolt
Florida Power and Light Company
Konarka Technologies
Kyocera Solar
Lanco Solar
Nanosolar
Solel Solar Systems
Suntech
Solar Millennium AG
Trina Solar Energy

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