Market Data: Biomass Power Generation

  • April 2013
  • -
  • Navigant Research
  • -
  • 23 pages

Electricity Generation from Biomass: Installed Capacity Forecasts for Dedicated, Co-Fired, Anaerobic Digestion, and Biorefinery Facilities

Accounting for 3% of global electricity generation capacity, biomass power generation (“biopower”) offers reliable baseload power to the grid and is expected to play a cornerstone role in meeting renewable energy targets worldwide. Capacity expansion is likely in this decade across a range of conversion platforms, including dedicated greenfield facilities that burn biomass exclusively, brownfield biomass and coal co-fired plants, anaerobic digesters producing biogas, and industrial biorefineries utilizing cogeneration. Although biomass feedstocks are available worldwide, logistical challenges associated with its collection, aggregation, transportation, and handling, coupled with its poor energy density relative to fossil fuels, make biopower financially attractive in only a narrow set of circumstances. For this reason, biopower remains a subsidy-dependent enterprise in most markets.

Supported by strong policy and healthy incentives, Europe currently accounts for 50% of installed capacity deployed worldwide. Capacity additions across Asia Pacific and Latin America through 2020 are expected to result in a modest shift away from Europe. Growth in North America is contingent upon the anticipated rollout of advanced biorefineries for advanced biofuels production. Navigant Research forecasts that, under an aggressive scenario, global installed biopower capacity will reach 129 GW by 2020.

This Navigant Research report provides capacity and revenue forecasts, market sizing, and market share analysis for electricity production from biomass, covering dedicated/co-fired, anaerobic digestion, and biorefinery facilities. The report also quantifies the expected supply of electricity from biomass and the amount of feedstock consumed at generation facilities on an annual basis. Worldwide revenue and capacity forecasts, segmented by application and region, extend through 2020.

Key Questions Addressed:

• How many gigawatts of electricity generation from biomass will be installed through 2020?
• Which regions and key markets offer the greatest potential for electricity production from biomass?
• What is the expected electricity supply from installed biopower facilities?
• How much biomass feedstock will be consumed annually for electricity generation?
• Which industrial applications will generate the most annual revenue from biopower production?

Who needs this report?

• Feedstock growers and suppliers
• Private timber companies and wood processors
• Biomass handling and pre-processers
• Utilities
• Industrial processors
• Biorefinery producers
• Biomass feedstock traders
• Biomass conversion equipment manufacturers
• Engineering, procurement, and construction companies
• Government agencies and policymakers
• Investor community

Table Of Contents

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary
1.1 Market Overview
1.2 Market Forecasts

2. Data Assumptions
2.1 Background
2.2 Role of Biopower in the Global Energy Mix
2.3 Biopower Segmentation
2.4 Methodology
2.5 Biorefinery Deployments
2.6 Policy Assumptions
2.7 Key Inflection Points

3. Market Forecasts
3.1 Forecast Assumptions
3.2 Biopower Forecasts by Scenario
3.2.1 Conservative Forecast
3.2.2 Aggressive Forecast
3.3 Biopower Forecasts by Segment
3.3.1 Dedicated and Co-Fired Biopower Segment
3.3.2 Anaerobic Digestion Biopower Segment
3.3.3 Biorefinery Cogeneration Segment

4. Acronym and Abbreviation List

5. Table of Contents

6. Table of Charts and Figures

7. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes



List of Charts and Figures

• Share of Installed Biopower Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2012
• Installed Biopower Capacity by Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
• Installed Biopower Capacity by Region, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
• Annual New Biopower Revenue by Segment, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
• Installed Biopower Capacity by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
• Annual New Biopower Revenue by Segment, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
• Installed Dedicated and Co-Fired Generation Capacity by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
• Installed Anaerobic Digestion Generation Capacity by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
• Installed Biorefinery Cogeneration Capacity by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020



List of Tables

• Biopower Market Segments
• Biomass Power and Thermal Policy Targets, World Markets: 2012
• Assumptions Contributing to Aggressive Biopower Forecasts
• Installed Biopower Capacity, World Markets: 2008-2012
• Installed Biopower Capacity by Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
• Installed Biopower Capacity by Region, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
• Installed Dedicated and Co-Fired Generation Capacity by Region, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
• Installed Anaerobic Digestion Generation Capacity by Region, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2013 2020
• Installed Biorefinery Cogeneration Generation Capacity by Region, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
• Installed Biopower Capacity by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
• Installed Dedicated and Co-Fired Generation Capacity by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
• Installed Anaerobic Digestion Generation Capacity by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
• Installed Biorefinery Generation Capacity by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
• Annual Biopower Generation by Region, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
• Annual Biopower Generation by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
• Annual Dry Biomass Feedstock Consumed for Electricity Generation by Region, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
• Annual Dry Biomass Consumed for Electricity Generation by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013 2020
• Annual New Biopower Revenue by Region, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
• Annual New Biopower Revenue by Segment, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
• Annual New Biopower Revenue by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
• Annual New Biopower Revenue by Segment, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020

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