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Chile Renewables Report Q3 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 36 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Chile remains the most attractive market for non-hydro renewables development in LatinAmerica due to its supportive regulations, high electricity prices, favourable natural conditions and stablebusiness environment. As such, the investor interest in the market remains strong, boosted by Chile'sabundance of contract opportunities for power developers.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- We forecast total Chilean non-hydropower renewables capacity to grow by an annual average of 18.7%over the coming decade, rising from an estimated 2,169MW in 2015 to 9,188MW in 2025. In terms ofrenewables power generation, we anticipate the average annual growth to reach 15.8% during the sameperiod, lifting the total output to 22.0TWh in 2025, up from an estimated 5.6TWh in 2015.

- Considering a strong pipeline of new projects, we have upgraded out outlook for solar capacity growthover the coming decade. We project solar capacity to more than triple in 2016, reaching 2,898MW by theend of the year and expand further to 5,742MW in 2025.

- In May 2016, Irish energy developer Mainstream Renewable Power's Chilean subsidiary securedapproval from Chile's Environmental Assessment Service to develop its 264MW Cerro Tigre wind plantin the country. The proposed facility, to be built near the Chilean port city of Antofagasta, will entail aninvestment of USD630mn.

- In April 2016, US-based renewable energy firm SunEdison signed a deal to sell two under-constructionChilean solar projects, totalling 202MW, to Chilean utility Colbún for an undisclosed sum. The dealcomprises the 145MW Olmue solar scheme in Valparaíso Region and the 57MW Santa Sofia solarproject in Santiago Metropolitan Region.

- In April 2016, Italian renewables operator Enel Green Power connected the 79MW Pampa Norte solarphotovoltaic (PV) plant, in Chile's Antofagasta Region, to the grid. The USD150mn facility will sellelectricity to the country's Central Region Interconnected System under a long-term power purchaseagreement (SeeNews).

Table Of Contents

Chile Renewables Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Renewables Headline Forecasts (Chile 2015-2021) 7
Latest Updates And Structural Trends 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Chile Renewables Forecast Scenario 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 12
Table: Chile - Renewables Policy Overview 13
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Chile 2014-2019) 18
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Chile 2020-2025) 18
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Chile 2014-2019) 19
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Chile 2020-2025) 21
Chile Renewables Projects Database 22
Table: Chile - Top 10 Renewables Projects By Capacity 22
Industry Risk/Reward Index 23
Chile Renewables Risk/Reward Index 23
Rewards 23
Risks 23
Market Overview 25
Sustainable Energy Policy And Infrastructure 25
Targets (Renewables And Emissions) 25
Subsidies 25
Infrastructure 26
Competitive Landscape 27
Enersis/Endesa 27
Mainstream Renewable Power 27
Enel Green Power 28
Pacific Hydro 28
Xinjiang Goldwind 29
Glossary 30
Table: Glossary Of Terms 30
Methodology 31
Methodology And Sources 31
Industry Forecast Methodology 31
Sources 33
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 33
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Index Indicators 35
Table: Weighting Indicators 36

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