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Indonesia Petrochemicals Report Q3 2014

  • July 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 107 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updatesIndonesia is set for strong growth in capacity that should improve its self-sufficiency, but it will still need to import petrochemical products, says BMI's latest Indonesia Petrochemicals Report. The danger the country's naphtha-fed sector faces is competing with low-cost ethane-based producers in the Middle East and the US. The problems facing petrochemical producer TPPI over debts are related to cost rises and indicate the kind of problems the industry could face.

Pertamina's ending of feedstock supply to local aromatics producer Trans Pacific Petrochemical Indotama (TPPI) in May 2014 due to unpaid debt will significantly impact on Indonesian petrochemicals output. A decline in paraxylene prices made the partnership economically unviable for the state-owned oil and gas company. In a six-month agreement beginning in November 2013, the plant was to process 55,000-80,000 b/d of condensate and 2.8mn barrels of light naphtha in order to produce a total of 530,000
tonnes of petrochemicals. An end of feedstock supply will severely undermine domestic petrochemicals output. TPPI may seek a temporary measure to maintain operations, but its payment disputes with Pertamina are unlikely to be resolved soon.

Table Of Contents

Indonesia Petrochemicals Report Q3 2014
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political 11
Economic . 12
Business Environment 13
Industry Forecast 14
Office 15
Table: Forecast Rents, 2014-2015 (USD/sq m/month) . 15
Table: Forecast Net Yield, 2014-2015 (%). . 16
Retail 17
Table: Forecast Rents, 2014-2015 (USD/sq m/month) . 17
Table: Forecast Net Yield, 2014-2015 (%). . 17
Industrial 18
Table: Forecast Rents, 2014-2015 (USD/sq m/month) . 18
Table: Forecast Net Yields, 2014-2015 (%)19
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario . 20
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (United States 2012-2017). 20
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (United States 2018-2023). 21
Macroeconomic Forecasts 26
Table: United States - Gdp By Expenditure. 32
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 34
Developed States Risk/Reward Ratings 34
Table: Developed States Real Estate Risk/Reward Ratings. 34
United States Risk/Reward Ratings . 34
Market Overview 36
Office 40
Table: Terms of Rental Contract/Leases, H213 40
Table: Net Yield, 2012-2014 (%).41
Table: Historic Rents, 2012-2014 (USD/sq m/month) . . 41
Retail 41
Table: Historic Rents -- 2012-2014 (USD/sq m/month) 43
Table: Net Yield, 2012-2014 (%).43
Table: Terms Of Rental Contract/Leases, H213 44
Industrial . 44
Table: Net Yields, 2012-2014 (%). . . 45
Table: Historic Rents, 2012-2014 (USD/sq m/month) . . 46
Table: Terms of Rental Contract/Leases, H213 47
Competitive Landscape . 48
Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) 48
Company Profile . 49
Bechtel . 49
Fluor Corporation . 52
KBR 54
Turner Construction Company . 56
Demographic Forecast 58
Table: The United States' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000).59
Table: The United States' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) . 60
Table: The United States' Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 . 61
Table: The United States' Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 . . 61
Methodology . 62
Industry Forecast Methodology . 62
Sources 63
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 63
Table: Real Estate Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators. 65
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 66

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