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Thailand Petrochemicals Report Q3 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 79 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Thailand's petrochemicals industry is poised for higher sales volumes in 2016 on the back ofhigher capacity utilisation and expansion and improved margins. Thai petrochemicals producer PTTGlobal Chemical Public Company has secured an increase in ethane supply for the year, which will supportcracker output growth and margin expansion. However, in the long run, Thailand is likely to see moreorientation towards naphtha feed and increased efforts to add value to output as it diversifies feedstock inorder to become more profitable.Naphtha-polyolefins spreads are likely to remain strong in 2016, even as new capacity comes onstream.However, this will have a mixed impact on Thai producers. Thailand's naphtha-based petrochemicalsproduction will benefit from lower oil prices, but gas producers will see margins squeezed. The pricemovements affected Thai producers in different ways in 2015 with Siam Cement Group (SCG), the largestnaphtha-based producer, reporting an improvement in chemical margins while gas-based producer PTTGCsaw earnings drop.Margins will influence the competitiveness of Thai producers, who are increasingly reliant on externalmarkets. We expect cooling regional demand stemming from a broad economic slowdown in the region -particularly in China and Japan, which are Thailand's largest and fourth largest export destinations - topersist. In the first four months of 2016, the chemicals trade deficit totalled THB6.4trn. This represented adecline of 14.9% year-on-year (y-o-y) with exports declining 1.1% y-o-y to THB53.5trn while imports fell2.1% to THB59.9trn.

Table Of Contents

Thailand Petrochemicals Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political 10
Economic 11
Operational Risk 13
Industry Forecast 15
Table: Thailand's Petrochemicals Sector, 2012-2020 19
Macroeconomic Forecasts 20
Economic Analysis 20
Industry Risk/Reward Index 24
Asia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 24
Table: Asia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Ranking 26
Thailand Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 27
Market Overview 28
Industry Trends And Developments 32
Company Profile 39
Indorama Ventures 39
Table: Indorama financial results (THBmn) 41
Integrated Refinery and Petrochemicals Company (IRPC) 42
Table: IRPC Financial results (THBmn) 43
PTT Global Chemical 44
Table: PTTGC Financial Results (THBmn) 48
Siam Cement Group (SCG) 49
Table: Siam Cement Group (THBmn) 51
Regional Overview 52
Asia Overview 52
Global Industry Overview 62
Demographic Forecast 69
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Thailand 1990-2025) 70
Table: Key Population Ratios (Thailand 1990-2025) 70
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Thailand 1990-2025) 71
Table: Population By Age Group (Thailand 1990-2025) 71
Table: Population By Age Group % (Thailand 1990-2025) 72
Glossary 74
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 74
Methodology 75
Industry Forecast Methodology 75
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 77
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 78
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 79

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