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United Kingdom Petrochemicals Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 78 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The British chemicals industry as a whole is in transition to higher-value, lower-volumeproduction, having closed many basic chemicals and polymers capacities in recent years. This should putthe industry in good stead for profitability, although existing petrochemicals facilities will continue to feelthe challenge of feedstock prices in competing with US and Middle Eastern rivals. The main downside riskcomes from the lack of access to competitively priced feedstock in a global market facing over-supply.The British petrochemicals industry experienced a downturn in Q116 with production indices suggesting acontraction of 1.3% y-o-y. Rubber and plastic output fell 0.7% while overall chemicals output fell 3.7%.This came in the context of a 1.3% contraction in manufacturing compared with Q115. The latest survey ofbusiness confidence for members of the Chemical Industries Association (CIA) shows that more than 88%of businesses expect sales volumes to remain or exceed 2015 levels when there was a record 5% growth, adecline of 2pp over the previous quarter. This would suggest that the industry expects a turn-around infortunes in the rest of the year with exports leading growth; 95% expect to maintain or grow exports.

Table Of Contents

United Kingdom Petrochemicals Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Table: United Kingdom - Petrochemicals Sector (2012-2020) 12
Macroeconomic Forecasts 14
Brexit Scenarios: Implications For Growth 14
Industry Risk/Reward Index 23
United Kingdom Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 23
Market Overview 25
Industry Trends And Developments 28
Company Profile 39
BP 39
Table: BP Financial Results (USDmn) 40
ExxonMobil Chemical 41
Table: ExxonMobil financial results (USDmn) 42
Ineos 43
Shell Chemicals UK 46
Regional Overview 50
Table: Northwest European Cracker Outages 53
Table: Europe Polymer Plant Turnarounds 53
Global Industry Overview 61
Demographic Forecast 68
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 69
Table: Key Population Ratios (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 69
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 70
Table: Population By Age Group (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 70
Table: Population By Age Group % (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 71
Glossary 73
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 73
Methodology 74
Industry Forecast Methodology 74
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 76
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 77
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 78

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