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  4. > United States Petrochemicals Report Q3 2016

United States Petrochemicals Report Q3 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 116 pages

BMI View:

Recent resurgence in the industrial sector and balanced chemical inventories bodes well for future chemical production. Although polymers continue to see healthy growth due to demand from manufacturers of consumer products and light vehicles, other sectors are less healthy and US exports have suffered as a result of a strong US dollar.

In 2016, the US petrochemicals industry is likely to witness more downside risk. The American Chemistry Council (ACC)'s Chemical Activity Barometer (CAB) three-month moving average (3mma) index expanded 1.0% in May following a 0.8% increase in April and 0.1% increase in March. The CAB was up 2.3% y-o-y, compared to 2.7% growth in the previous May. Lower rates of growth are indicative of the US's move towards full capacity utilisation, as well as the country's near-total self-sufficiency in basic polymers, even at a time of rising demand.

US ethylene production in Q116 grew 10% y-o-y to 6.8mn tonnes, according to the American Fuel and Petrochemical Manufacturers (AFPM). Ethylene inventories totalled about 816,000 tonnes, up 125% y-o-y
and 14% q-o-q. Feedstock ethane consumption was also up 10% y-o-y to 6.1mn tonnes. Propane and butane usage also increased compared to the same period last year, while naphtha feeds were down.

Table Of Contents

United States Petrochemicals Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT 9
Political . 11
Economic ... 12
Operational Risk . 13
Industry Forecast .. 14
Table: US Petrochemicals Industry, 2012-2020 ('000tpa, unless otherwise stated) . 17
Macroeconomic Forecasts ... 18
Economic Analysis ... 18
Industry Risk/Reward Index . 25
Americas Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 25
Table: Americas Petrochemicals Risk/Rewards Ratings . 27
Market Overview ... 28
Table: Geographical Concentration Of Chemicals Production . 30
Industry Trends And Developments 32
Table: US Cracker Projects 34
Table: US Petrochemicals Expansions under consideration . 35
Polymers And Intermediates . 37
Fertiliser .. 39
Refining ... 40
Regulatory Development .. 41
Hydraulic Fracturing (Fracking) .. 42
Competitive Landscape 46
Upstream .. 46
Table: Olefins Production Capacity ('000tpa) . 48
Table: Aromatics And Derivatives Capacity ('000tpa) . 52
Table: Xylenes Capacity ('000tpa) 53
Table: US Polyethylene Manufacturing And Applications . 55
Table: PE Chain Capacity ('000tpa) . 55
Table: US PP Capacity ('000tpa) 60
Table: PVC Chain Capacity ('000tpa) . 60
Table: PS Chain Capacity ('000tpa) 62
Table: US Petrochemicals Sector - PET Chain Capacity ('000tpa) 64
Company Profile 66
BP 66
Chevron Phillips Chemical Company .. 69
Dow Chemical 72
Table: Dow Financial Results (USmn) . 75
ExxonMobil 76
Huntsman .. 80
Table: Huntsman (USDmn) . 81
Ineos . 82
LyondellBasell 84
Table: LyondellBasell Financial Results (USDmn) 85
Shell Chemicals ... 86
Westlake Chemical ... 89
Table: Westlake Chemical Financial Results (USDmn) 90
Regional Overview 92
Americas Overview .. 92
Table: Planned Cracker Projects . 97
Global Industry Overview .. 99
Demographic Forecast ... 106
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United States 1990-2025) . 107
Table: Key Population Ratios (United States 1990-2025) . 107
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (United States 1990-2025) 108
Table: Population By Age Group (United States 1990-2025) . 108
Table: Population By Age Group % (United States 1990-2025) 109
Glossary ... 111
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 111
Methodology 112
Industry Forecast Methodology .. 112
Risk/Reward Index Methodology . 114
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators . 115
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 116

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