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  5. > Brazil Petrochemicals Report Q3 2015

Brazil Petrochemicals Report Q3 2015

  • June 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 81 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:
Owing to a poor market outlook and the orientation of Brazil's manufacturing industry towards the domestic market, rather than export markets, we are becoming more bearish on the country's petrochemicals production. A likely economic recession in 2015 will be accompanied by additional factors affecting the industry, including the Petrobras corruption scandal which will exacerbate poor industry performance.

In Q115, chemicals consumption declined slightly, although Brazilian producers still managed to increase sales in the domestic market at the expense of imports. This reversed a trend in which local producers were losing market share and was largely related to the weakening of the Brazilian real. However, producers remain circumspect about the prospects for the sector in coming months due to the poor end-market environment.

Table Of Contents

Brazil Petrochemicals Report Q3 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political . 10
Economic .. 11
Operational Risk . 12
Industry Forecast .. 14
Production .. 14
Consumption .. 15
Table: Brazil Petrochemicals Sector - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2012-2019 . 18
Macroeconomic Forecasts .. 19
Economic Analysis .. 19
Table: Economic Activity (Brazil 2010-2019) . 24
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings .. 25
Americas Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 25
Worsening market risk in Latin America 25
Table: Americas Petrochemicals Risk/Rewards Ratings . . 29
Market Overview 30
Industry Trends And Developments .. 33
Petrobras Scandal . 36
Foreign Ventures .. 40
Financial Results .. 41
Bioplastics .. 42
Company Profile . 43
Braskem . 43
Table: Braskem Financial Results - BRLmn 47
Petróleo Brasileiro (Petrobras) 48
Regional Overview 54
Americas Overview . 54
Table: Planned PE Projects In North America, 2014-2019 . . 58
Global Industry Overview .. 60
Project Cancellation: the Impact of US Expansion and Low Oil Prices . 60
Outlook for 2015: Falling prices 62
Medium-term outlook 63
China versus the US: feedstock wars . 64
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-year Forecasts . 68
Table: Energy Price Forecasts, 2013-2018 68
Table: Energy Price Forecasts, 2019-2024 ( Global 2019-2024) . . 69
Demographic Forecast .. 71
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Brazil 1990-2025) . . 72
Table: Key Population Ratios (Brazil 1990-2025) . . 72
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Brazil 1990-2025) . 73
Table: Population By Age Group (Brazil 1990-2025) . . 73
Table: Population By Age Group % (Brazil 1990-2025) . . 74
Glossary .. 76
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms . 76
Methodology . 77
Industry Forecast Methodology . 77
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 79
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators . . 80
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 81

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