Brazil Petrochemicals Report Q3 2013

  • July 2013
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 77 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Brazilian chemicals producers are set for a better business environment in H213 as government measures help stimulate consumption, support industry growth and offset the effects of high operating costs. However, BMI still forecasts an erosion of market share to cheaper imports, particularly from the US due to the strength of the real and the US's lower ethane costs.

The first few months of 2013 saw a modest contraction in the Brazilian chemicals industry's domestic sales and output. The pace of sales has not matched the increase in domestic demand, with apparent consumption in the first four months rising 7.1% year-on-year (y-o-y). As a result, Brazil is growing more reliant on imports and the chemicals balance of trade deficit growing; a trend that was witnessed in 2012.

Table Of Contents

Brazil Petrochemicals Report Q3 2013
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 9
Economic 10
Business Environment 12
Industry Forecast 13
Table: Brazil's Petrochemicals Sector, 2010-2017 ('000tpa, unless otherwise stated) 16
Macroeconomic Forecasts 17
Economic Analysis 17
Table: Brazil - Economic Activity 21
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 22
Brazil Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Ratings 22
Americas Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Ratings 22
Divergence: Large Markets Take The Lead 23
Table: Americas Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100) 25
Market Overview 26
Industry Trends And Developments 29
Foreign Ventures 30
Bioplastics 31
Company Profile 33
Braskem 33
Table: Braskem Financial Results - BRLmn 36
Petróleo Brasileiro 38
Regional Overview 42
Americas Overview 42
Global Industry Overview 48
Global Industry Overview 48
Global Oil Product Price Outlook 54
Methodology 54
Crude Price Forecasts 55
Table: BMI's Oil Price Forecasts, Average Price (US$/bbl) 55
Early Rally Turns Into Run-Off 55
Table: BMI's Refined Products Forecasts, US$/bbl 59
Supply: Refining Capacity Expansion Sets Tone 60
Naphtha: Global Economic Outlook Weighs On Prices 64
Gasoline And Gasoil/Diesel: The Green Effect 65
Jet Fuel: Freight Continues Slump 66
Table: Total Air Freight and Passenger Volumes 66
Bunker Fuels: Efficiency Takes Hit On Demand 67
Demographic Forecast 69
Table: Brazil's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 70
Table: Brazil's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 70
Table: Brazil's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 71
Table: Brazil's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 72
Glossary 73
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 73
Methodology 74
Chemicals And Petrochemicals Industry 74
Cross Checks 75
Risk/Reward Ratings 75
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Indicators And Rationale 76
Weighting 77
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 77

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