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Angola Infrastructure Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 36 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Construction industry growth will be sluggish over the short term as the weak commoditiesoutlook weighs on the budget balance and hampers the government's ability to boost construction activity.We expect significant movement after 2020, in line with improved oil prices, which will provide thegovernment with additional revenue to funnel into infrastructure projects as well as spur the development ofoil infrastructure. Pervasive corruption and an inflexible labour policy will remain a drag on investorsentiment.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- This quarter we are maintaining our forecast for 2.5% real growth in 2016 as the weak commoditiesoutlook weighs on government revenues and diverts attention away from key infrastructure development.

- Significant movement will be observed from 2020 as investment flows into infrastructure to support theoil industry, in line with the expected recovery in Brent Crude oil prices. We forecast industry expansionof 6.7% in real terms between 2020 and 2025.Overall our full 10-year forecast period up to 2025 the industry is projected to expand at an annual averagerate of 5.3% in real terms. Nominal industry value will rise from an estimated USD9.2bn in 2015 toUSD20.4bn in 2025.We note the positive move on the part of the government to move towards a moreliberalised power sector, which would help to encourage private investment into the build of energyinfrastructure.

Table Of Contents

Angola Infrastructure Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Table: Angola - 5-Year Forecast Scenario (Angola 2016-2020) 5
Table: Risk/Reward Index 6
SWOT 7
Infrastructure SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 9
Table: Angola - 10-Year Forecast Scenario 9
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 17
Industry Risk/Reward Index 17
Rewards 17
Risks 17
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index 19
Table: SSA RRI 28
Methodology 29
Industry Forecast Methodology 29
Sector-Specific Methodology 30
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 34
Sector-Specific Methodology 35
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 35
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 36

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