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Cameroon Infrastructure Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 35 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The government's heavy focus on narrowing its infrastructure deficit is keeping ourconstruction growth forecasts upbeat, with developments to freight logistics networks and the power gridkey drivers of growth. Cameroon remains one of the more attractive PPP markets in SSA, with an extensiveprogramme of 20 projects and legislation in place since 2006. Posing a downside risk to our outlook arepotential threats to political stability in future, which could see investors becoming more cautious whenoperating in the market.

Forecast And Industry Developments

- We continue to forecast 9.4% real growth in 2016 and an annual average of 8.8% in real terms between2016 and 2020. Over the next five years Cameroon will be the second fastest-growing market in Sub-Saharan Africa, in line with Kenya and below Ethiopia.

- Over our full 10-year forecast period we project the industry will expand 8% in real terms. Nominalindustry value is expected to rise from an estimated USD1.9bn in 2015 to USD6.1bn in 2025, keeping itone of the smaller infrastructure markets in West Africa.

- Cameroon remains one of the more attractive public-private partnership (PPP) markets in Sub-SaharanAfrica, although we highlight potential risks to political stability in future could see investors becomemore cautious when operating in the market.

- Investment in the logistics network, power grid and industrial construction will be the main drivers ofconstruction industry growth as the government seeks to support the ease of doing business in thecountry.

Table Of Contents

Cameroon Infrastructure Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Table: 5-Year Forecast Scenario (Cameroon 2016-2020) 5
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index (Cameroon 2016) 6
SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 9
Table: 10-Year Forecast Scenario (Cameroon 2016-2025) 9
Table: Major Power Projects By Value, USDmn 14
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 17
Cameroon - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 17
Rewards 17
Risks 17
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index 18
Table: SSA RRI 27
Methodology 28
Industry Forecast Methodology 28
Sector-Specific Methodology 29
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 33
Sector-Specific Methodology 34
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 34
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 35

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