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South Africa Infrastructure Report Q3 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 67 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: South Africa's construction market has entered into a period of subdued growth asmacroeconomic and operational headwinds weigh on business confidence and limit productivity in thesector. We expect rail and renewable energy sectors to post the most solid performance, with improvedfreight logistics and a more stable power supply crucial to economic growth. Support will also stem fromthe continued implementation of the low-cost housing programme.Forecast & Industry Developments

- We are maintaining our forecast for 1.6% real growth over 2016 and annual average growth of 2.2% inreal terms over the next five years up to 2020. Nominal industry value will rise from an estimatedUSD11.2bn in 2015 to USD15.5bn in 2025, keeping it as one of the largest construction markets in Sub-Saharan Africa.

- We expect rail investment plans to take shape over our forecast period, with parastatal Transnet in a solidfinancial position to execute its key projects and the government eager to overcome bottlenecks in thecountry's freight logistics network.

- New and proposed policies extending the state's power into investment and land matters are erodingbusiness confidence in the sector, which is already poor in light of the weakening rand and subduedcommodities outlook.

Table Of Contents

South Africa Infrastructure Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Table: 5-Year Forecast Scenario (South Africa 2016-2020) 5
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index (South Africa 2016) 6
SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 9
Table: 10-Year Forecast Scenario (South Africa 2016-2025) 9
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 14
Table: 10-Year Forecast Scenario (South Africa 2016-2025) 15
Table: Transport - Major Projects By Value (USDmn) 24
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 24
Table: 10-Year Forecast Scenario (South Africa 2016-2025) 25
Table: Energy and Utilities --- Major Projects By Value (USDmn) 30
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 31
Table: 10-Year Forecast Scenario (South Africa 2016-2025) 32
Table: Planned Special Economic Zones 35
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Construction - Major Projects By Value (USDmn) 38
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 39
South Africa - Risk/Reward Index 39
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index 41
Table: SSA RRI 50
Market Overview 51
Competitive Landscape 51
Table: EQS Data 52
Company Profile 53
Eskom 53
Transnet 56
Murray and Roberts Group (MandR) 58
Methodology 60
Industry Forecast Methodology 60
Sector-Specific Methodology 61
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 65
Sector-Specific Methodology 66
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 66
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 67

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