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  5. > Algeria Oil and Gas Report Q3 2015

Algeria Oil and Gas Report Q3 2015

  • June 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 140 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View: Given the heavy investment needed to offset rapid declines at its major maturing fields, we see Algeria as among those producers most vulnerable to the global fall in oil prices. Softer prices will combine with the country's weak above-ground environment to ward off prospective investors. Falling production
combined with high consumption growth for both oil and gas will put a heavy strain on exports towards the back end of our 10-year forecast period.

The key trends and developments in Algeria's oil and gas sector are:

- Algeria has substantial underexplored acreage. However, exploration will remain limited due to Sonatrach's strained financial position and a lack of foreign involvement in the sector. The country plans to launch a new licensing round in 2015, but we expect the response to be muted.

Table Of Contents

Algeria Oil and Gas Report Q3 2015
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Algeria 2013-2019) 7
SWOT 8
Oil and Gas SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Upstream Exploration 9
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Algeria 2013-2018) 9
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Algeria 2019-2024) 9
Table: Total Mean Undiscovered Conventional Resources In Basins Covering Algeria 10
Table: Algeria Fourth International Bid Round Block Awards 11
Upstream Projects 14
Table: Algeria Major Upstream Projects 14
Upstream Production - Oil 15
Table: Oil Production (Algeria 2013-2018) 15
Table: Oil Production (Algeria 2019-2024) 15
Upstream Production - Gas 18
Table: Gas Production (Algeria 2013-2018) 18
Table: Gas Production (Algeria 2019-2024) 18
Refining 21
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Algeria 2013-2018) 21
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Algeria 2019-2024) 21
Refined Fuels Consumption 23
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Algeria 2013-2018) 23
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Algeria 2019-2024) 23
Gas Consumption 28
Table: Gas Consumption (Algeria 2013-2018) 28
Table: Gas Consumption (Algeria 2019-2024) 28
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG) 31
Table: Gas Net Exports (Algeria 2013-2018) 31
Table: Gas Net Exports (Algeria 2019-2024) 32
Table: Algeria LNG Contracts 33
Trade - Oil 35
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Algeria 2013-2018) 35
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Algeria 2019-2024) 35
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Algeria 2013-2018) 38
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Algeria 2019-2024) 38
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (Algeria - 2013-2018) 39
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (Algeria - 2019-2024) 40
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 41
Africa Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 41
Table: BMI's Africa Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 42
Above-Ground Risks Dampen Upstream Outlook 43
Table: BMI's Africa Upstream Risk/Reward Index 43
Underperformance Continues Among African Majors 44
Emergent Markets Stumble At Regulatory Hurdles 45
Established Producers On The Downturn 46
An Underwhelming Downstream 46
Table: BMI's Africa Downstream Risk/Reward Index 46
Algeria - Risk/Reward Index 49
Market Overview 51
Algeria Energy Market Overview 51
Overview/State Role 51
Licensing And Regulation 51
Licensing Rounds 52
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 53
LNG 53
Table: Algeria Operational LNG Export Terminals 53
Oil Refineries 54
Table: Algeria Operational Refineries 54
Gas Pipelines 54
Competitive Landscape 56
Competitive Landscape Summary 56
Table: Key Players In The Algerian Energy Sector 57
Table: Key Upstream Players 57
Table: Key Downstream Players 58
Company Profile 59
Enterprise Nationale Sonatrach 59
Anadarko 66
Eni Algeria Production 69
BP 73
Total 76
Repsol 79
BHP Petroleum 83
Cepsa 85
Statoil 89
Other Summaries 92
Regional Overview 96
Africa Oil and Gas Regional Overview 96
West Africa - Exploration Slowdown 96
Unconventionals: Window Of Opportunity Closing 98
East Africa: Resource Development Under Strain 100
High-Risk Continent 102
Downstream Blues 104
Global Industry Overview 106
Oil Price Outlook 106
Table: BMI And Bloomberg Consensus Forecasts* WTI And Brent, Front Month - USD/bbl 106
Table: 2015-2016 - Fundamental Pressure On Oil Prices 107
Appendix 114
Africa - Regional Appendix 114
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 ('000b/d) 114
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 ('000b/d) 115
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 ('000b/d) 115
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 ('000b/d) 116
Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 ('000b/d) 117
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 ('000b/d) 118
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 (bcm) 119
Table: Gas Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 (bcm) 119
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 (bcm) 120
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 (bcm) 121
Table: LNG Net Exports - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 (bcm) 122
Table: LNG Net Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 (bcm) 123
Algeria - Total Hydrocarbons, 10-Year Forecasts 124
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Algeria 2013-2018) 124
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Algeria 2019-2024) 124
Algeria - Refined Products Breakdown, 10-Year Forecasts 125
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (Algeria 2013-2018) 125
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (Algeria 2019-2024) 126
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (Algeria 2013-2018) 127
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (Algeria 2019-2024) 129
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (Algeria 2013-2018) 130
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (Algeria 2019-2024) 131
Table: LPG Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Algeria 2013-2018) 132
Table: LPG Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Algeria 2019-2024) 132
Glossary 133
Table: Glossary Of Terms 133
Methodology 135
Industry Forecast Methodology 135
Source 137
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 137
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 139
Table: Weighting 140

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