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  5. > Algeria Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016

Algeria Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 80 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The outlook on Algerian oil production is heavily bearish, due to rapid decline rates at matureproducing fields and the small pipeline of projects under development. The outlook on gas is slightly morepositive, although strong domestic consumption growth will continue to weigh on exports. Reversinglonger-term production declines depends on pulling increased foreign investment into the sector, includingrecent announcements of plans to allow companies to directly invest in a limited number of fields. However,the prospects are clouded by an unattractive fiscal and regulatory regime, ongoing security concerns, andthe weakened commodity price environment.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts

- Algeria has substantial underexplored acreage. However, exploration will remain limited due toSonatrach's strained financial position and a lack of foreign involvement in the sector over the long term.

- The long-term outlook on oil and gas production is heavily bearish. A spate of small to medium-sizedprojects will support medium-term production growth, but a lack of new projects scheduled to comeonstream beyond 2018-2019 will see decline rates outpacing new production.

- A 2016 attack on a gas processing facility at the hand of Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM)underscored the ongoing security challenges facing industry assets.

- Oil and gas consumption will continue to grow, as pervasive subsidies fuel inefficient consumptionpatterns.

- The combination of rising consumption and falling production will severely undercut exports of oil andgas towards the end of our forecast period to 2025. Revenue will be further impacted by sustained lowercommodity prices.

Table Of Contents

Algeria Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Algeria 2014-2020) 7
Oil and Gas SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Upstream Exploration 9
Latest Updates 9
Structural Trends 9
Table: Total Mean Undiscovered Conventional Resources In Basins Covering Algeria 9
Table: Algeria Fourth International Bid Round Block Awards 11
Upstream Projects 12
Table: Algeria Major Upstream Projects 12
Upstream Production - Oil 15
Latest Updates 15
Structural Trends 15
Table: Oil Production (Algeria 2014-2019) 17
Table: Oil Production (Algeria 2020-2025) 17
Upstream Production - Gas 18
Latest Updates 18
Structural Trends 18
Table: Gas Production (Algeria 2014-2019) 21
Table: Gas Production (Algeria 2020-2025) 21
Refining 22
Latest Updates 22
Structural Trends 22
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Algeria 2014-2019) 23
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Algeria 2020-2025) 24
Refined Fuels Consumption 25
Latest Updates 25
Structural Trends 25
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Algeria 2014-2019) 29
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Algeria 2020-2025) 29
Gas Consumption 30
Latest Updates 30
Structural Trends 30
Table: Gas Consumption (Algeria 2014-2019) 32
Table: Gas Consumption (Algeria 2020-2025) 32
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG) 33
Latest Updates 33
Structural Trends 33
Table: Algeria LNG Contracts 34
Table: Gas Net Exports (Algeria 2014-2019) 36
Table: Gas Net Exports (Algeria 2020-2025) 37
Trade - Oil 38
Latest Updates 38
Structural Trends 38
Crude Oil 38
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Algeria 2014-2020) 40
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Algeria 2020-2025) 41
Refined Fuels 41
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Algeria 2014-2019) 42
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Algeria 2020-2025) 42
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 43
Africa - Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 43
Table: BMI Africa Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 43
Above-Ground Risks Dulling Below-Ground Potential 46
Table: BMI Africa Upstream Risk/Reward Index 46
Downstream Sector Holds Limited Opportunity 49
Table: BMI Africa Downstream Risk/Reward Index 49
Algeria - Risk/Reward Index 51
Upstream Index 51
Downstream Index 52
Market Overview 53
Algeria Energy Market Overview 53
Regulatory Overview 53
Licensing Regime 53
Table: Algeria Model PSC Main Licensing Terms 54
Fiscal Regime 54
Table: Algeria Model PSC Main Fiscal Terms 54
Licensing Rounds 55
Table: Algeria 2014 Licensing Round 55
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 56
LNG Terminals 56
Table: Algeria LNG Export Terminals 56
Oil Refineries 57
Table: Algeria Oil Refineries 57
Gas Pipelines 57
Table: Algeria Main Gas Export Pipelines 57
Competitive Landscape 58
Competitive Landscape Summary 58
Table: Key Players In The Algerian Energy Sector 59
Table: Key Upstream Players 59
Table: Key Downstream Players 60
Company Profile 61
Enterprise Nationale Sonatrach 61
Latest Updates 61
Regional Overview 64
Africa - Bullish Gas, Bearish Oil 64
Table: Africa Oil and Gas Production, Consumption, Refining Capacity And Trade 72
Glossary 73
Table: Glossary Of Terms 73
Methodology 75
Industry Forecast Methodology 75
Source 77
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 77
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 79
Table: Weighting 80

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