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  5. > Egypt Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016

Egypt Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 91 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Pledged investment in upstream developments and LNG imports will be crucial to meeting gasdemand over the next five years, while the Zohr discovery could solve Egypt's gas challenges in the longterm. Policy slippage with subsidy reform and payment schedules to oil and gas companies, pose the largestrisk to slowing the positive momentum.We highlight the following trends and developments in Egypt's oil and gas sector:

- The Egyptian government continues to struggle with debt repayments to international oil companies withdues slipping from USD3bn in December 2015 to USD3.2bn in March 2016.

- The oil ministry is to pay Shell/BG some USD400mn of its over USD1bn recievables by end 2016 toincentivise investment in WDDM phase 9b.

- The Zohr development is on first priority fast-track with Eni still targeting first production from the initialphase in late 2017. Civil works have reportedly begun.

- BP's West Nile Delta project (Taurus/Libra) also has fast-track status, targeting start-up of the 12bcmproject in early 2017.

- Eni and BP started production from the Nooros field in the Abu Madi West licence, which produced65,000boe/d in May and is expected to double over 2016.

- Gas consumption grew over 3.5% y-o-y in Q116 to 11.7bcm and will be supported by a new 30kmpipeline connecting New Ismailia city to the gas grid.

- The government announced it will be reducing gas supply to industry in August due to an expectedincrease in gas demand from the power sector - three new gas-fired power plants are expected in June/July 2016.

- Construction of Egyptian Refining Company's Mostorod facility is over 84% complete, with targetedstart-up in mid-2017.

Table Of Contents

Egypt Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Egypt 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Oil and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Upstream Exploration 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: Wellhead Gas Prices 13
Upstream Projects 14
Table: Key Upstream Oil And Gas Projects In Egypt 14
Upstream Production - Oil 19
Latest Updates 19
Structural Trends 19
Table: Oil Production (Egypt 2014-2019) 21
Table: Oil Production (Egypt 2020-2025) 21
Upstream Production - Gas 22
Latest Updates 22
Structural Trends 22
Table: Gas Production (Egypt 2014-2019) 24
Table: Gas Production (Egypt 2020-2025) 25
Refining 26
Latest Updates 26
Structural Trends 26
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Egypt 2014-2019) 29
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Egypt 2020-2025) 29
Refined Fuels Consumption 30
Latest Updates 30
Structural Trends 30
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Egypt 2014-2019) 32
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Egypt 2020-2025) 33
Gas Consumption 34
Latest Updates 34
Structural Trends 34
Table: New Natural Gas Subsidies For Grid Connected Users 35
Table: Gas Consumption (Egypt 2014-2019) 36
Table: Gas Consumption (Egypt 2020-2025) 36
Trade - Oil 37
Latest Updates 37
Structural Trends: Crude Oil 37
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Egypt 2014-2020) 38
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Egypt 2020-2025) 39
Structural Trends: Refined Fuels 39
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Egypt 2014-2019) 40
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Egypt 2020-2025) 40
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 41
Latest Updates 41
Structural Trends 41
Table: Gas Net Exports (Egypt 2014-2019) 43
Table: Gas Net Exports (Egypt 2020-2025) 43
Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 44
Africa - Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 44
Table: BMI Africa Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 44
Above-Ground Risks Dulling Below-Ground Potential 47
Table: BMI Africa Upstream Risk/Reward Index 47
Downstream Sector Holds Limited Opportunity 50
Table: BMI Africa Downstream Risk/Reward Index 50
Egypt - Risk/Reward Index 52
Market Overview 54
Egypt Energy Market Overview 54
Regulation 54
Political Regime 54
Fiscal Regime 56
Table: Egyptian Tax Regime 56
Licensing Rounds 56
Table: International 2016 Bid Round Blocks 56
Table: 2015 Offshore Blocks Awarded 57
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 58
Oil Refineries 58
Table: Refineries In Egypt 58
Service Stations 59
Oil Storage Facilities 59
Oil Terminals/Ports 59
Oil Pipelines 59
LNG Terminals 60
Table: LNG Export Terminals In Egypt 60
Table: LNG Import Terminals 61
Gas Pipelines 61
Competitive Landscape 62
Competitive Landscape Summary 62
Table: Companies Operating In Egypt's Petroleum Sector 62
Table: EGPC 65
Company Profile 66
Apache Energy 66
Latest Updates 66
Table: Major Assets 67
BP Egypt 69
Latest Updates 69
Table: BP Egypt Concessions 70
Table: BP - Key Financial Data - USDbn 71
Eni Egypt 72
Table: IEOC Concessions and Leases - Production Shares 73
Table: Eni - Financial Data 74
Regional Overview 75
Africa - Bullish Gas, Bearish Oil 75
Table: Africa Oil and Gas Production, Consumption, Refining Capacity And Trade 83
Glossary 84
Table: Glossary Of Terms 84
Methodology 86
Industry Forecast Methodology 86
Source 88
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 88
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 90
Table: Weighting 91

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