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Croatia Telecommunications Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 67 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We have once again revised our forecasts for the Croatian mobile market to reflect a significantloss of mobile connections in Q415 and Q116. Nevertheless, we believe that this trend was due to thededuction of inactive customers and continue to hold an upbeat view of the development of the sector. BothTele2 and VIPNet have committed to significant network upgrades. VIPNet invested EUR18.6mn insecuring two further blocks of 4G spectrum in Q415. Tele2 launched its 4G network in February 2016boosting 4G coverage to 90% of the population. We predict that this will result in higher competition andcould lead to a price war in the 4G segment. We also expect the operators will focus on migrating prepaidcustomers onto higher-value postpaid packages and this will be the growth area over the course of ourforecast period.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

- The mobile market experienced a net loss of 261,000 new subscribers in Q415 and a further 53,000 inQ116 to bring the total number of subscribers to 4.698mn.

- Last quarter we upgraded our Croatian forecasts for the 3G/4G mobile market and we now anticipate atotal of 1.77mm subscribers by the end of 2016 and 2.77mn subscribers in 2020.

- Tele2 is aggressively invested in network upgrades by expanding 3G coverage to 97% of the population,expanding voice service to 99% of the country and rolling out 4G in Q1 2016. Meanwhile, VIPNet isgearing up for 4G competition as the operator spent EUR18.6mn in Q415 to strengthen its 4G capabilitiesby acquiring two blocks of 4G spectrum.

Table Of Contents

Croatia Telecommunications Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Latest Updates and Industry Developments 7
SWOT Analysis 9
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Structural Trends 11
Wireline Voice and Broadband 14
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Croatia 2013-2020) 15
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 16
Central And Eastern Europe Industry Risk/Reward Index 16
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q3 2016 17
Croatia Risk/Reward Index 19
Market Overview 20
Telecoms 20
Market Drivers and Trends 20
Mobile 20
Wireline Voice and Broadband 26
Pay TV 31
Regulatory Development 34
Table: Croatia - Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities 34
Industry Developments 36
Competitive Landscape 41
Table: Key Players - Croatia Telecoms Sector 41
Table: Croatia Mobile Market Overview 2014-2016 41
Table: T Mobile HK Overview 2013-2016 42
Table: VIP Net Overview 2013-2016 44
Table: Tele2 Overview 2013-2016 46
Company Profile 47
T-Hrvatski Telekom 47
Tele2 Croatia 52
Demographic Forecast 56
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Croatia 1990-2025) 57
Table: Key Population Ratios (Croatia 1990-2025) 57
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Croatia 1990-2025) 58
Table: Population By Age Group (Croatia 1990-2025) 58
Table: Population By Age Group % (Croatia 1990-2025) 59
Glossary 61
Table: Glossary Of Terms 61
Methodology 63
Industry Forecast Methodology 63
Sources 65
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 65
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 66
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 67

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