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Hungary Infrastructure Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 64 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Hungary's construction sector growth will continue to be backed mainly by EU funds; in thetransport infrastructure industry, road and rail projects will benefit mostly, while in the energy and utilitiesinfrastructure industry, the power plants and transmission grids as well as the oil and gas pipeline subsectorwill experience higher growth. Residential building industry will grow substantially due to highdisposable household income, as a result of an improving economic performance, decreasingunemployment rate and low inflation. The construction industry will expand 1.9% y-o-y in 2016, with anaverage annual real growth of 2.9% over 2016-2025.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- Civil engineering projects have been the primary drivers of the construction sector rebound, with roadand railway projects in particular, driving the civil engineering growth. However, in January andFebruary 2016, the volume of construction output decreased 20.1% and 19.2% y-o-y, respectively, theconstruction of buildings also declined by 12.6% and 8.6% y-o-y, respectively as well as civilengineering works by 28.5% y-o-y in January and by 35.4% y-o-y in February. In 2015, the figures werepositive, as the volume of construction output increased 3.0% y-o-y, the construction of buildingsincreased 4.8% y-o-y and civil engineering works 1.6% y-o-y (Hungarian Central Statistical Office,2016).

- According to Hungarian news agency MTI, the government and the European Commission reached apolitical agreement, significant for the country, in a dispute over road construction tenders, Cabinet ChiefJános Lázár stated on April 8, 2016 (Budapest Business Journal, 2016).

- Hungary is able to draw EUR40mn of EIB road development loan directly and the remaining EUR100mncan be received in two tranches after the clarification of contract details and conditions, as ÁgnesHornung, Hungarian Economy Ministry state secretary, stated on March 8, 2016 (Budapest BusinessJournal, 2016).

- As announced on March 29, 2016, the bank CIB Group anticipates further recovery on the Hungarianproperty market due to favorable investment environment and several state incentives, such as a VATrate cut and new home purchase subsidies for families with children (CSOK) (Budapest Business Journal,2016).

Table Of Contents

Hungary Infrastructure Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Hungary's Construction Industry Forecast 8
Table: Hungary's Infrastructure Risk/Reward 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 10
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 10
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Hungary 2015-2025) 11
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 14
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Hungary 2015-2025) 15
Table: Transport Projects 24
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 24
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Hungary 2015-2025) 25
Table: Energy and Utilities Projects 32
Residential/NonResidential Building - Outlook And Overview 33
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Hungary 2015-2025) 33
Table: Construction And Social Infrastructure Key Projects 38
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 39
Hungary - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 39
Rewards 39
Risks 39
CEE Infrastructure RRI: EU Funding Essential As Risks Deter Private Investors 41
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 46
Market Overview 47
Competitive Landscape 47
Table: EQS Data 47
Company Profile 48
Strabag Hungary 48
Vegyepszer 53
KÉSZ Building and Construction 55
Methodology 57
Industry Forecast Methodology 57
Sector-Specific Methodology 58
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 62
Sector-Specific Methodology 63
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 63
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 64

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