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  4. > Hong Kong Telecommunications Report Q3 2016

Hong Kong Telecommunications Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 71 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: BMI has attributed the fall in mobile subscriber numbers in 2015 to the saturated state of theHong Kong mobile market, together with Hong Kong's slowing economic growth and already high levels ofLTE adoption. Operators are deriving growth and value from customers by bundling higher-value productsand services like video and smart applications to their primary offering. In addition, the potential forpostpaid subscribers to outnumber prepaid ones will remove some subscriber number volatility and reducechurn rates for operators in the longer term. This has positive implications for average revenues per user(ARPU). Meanwhile, we are bullish on the announcement that broadband provider Hong Kong BroadbandNetwork (HKBN) will acquire New World Development's telecoms and online marketing servicebusinesses. Going forward we expect the enterprise market to provide strong support for Hong Kong'sbroadband market, given that businesses require high-speed broadband connectivity to facilitate theiroperations and cross-border communications.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

- The latest data from the OFCA showed there were 16.775mn mobile subscribers at the end of December2015 and 16.724mn, down by 1.4% y-o-y. We forecast 16.98mn mobile subscribers by the end of ourfive-year forecast period in 2020, for a penetration rate of 224.7%, of which 94.4% will be 3G/4G. Thehighly saturated mobile market provides little room for organic growth, and revenue growth will comefrom migrating subscribers on to postpaid plans and encouraging consumption of more value-addedservices.

- In the wireline sector, the focus is on FTTH as subscribers demand faster and more reliable fixednetwork connections. Based on full year data from the regulator for broadband subscribers, we forecastthe number of broadband internet subscriptions to reach 2.65mn by 2020, equivalent to a penetrationrate of 35%.

Table Of Contents

Hong Kong Telecommunications Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Telecoms 9
Industry Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Wireline Voice and Broadband 13
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 15
Telecoms Risk/Reward Index 16
Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Index 16
Table: Asia Pacific Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q316 18
Hong Kong Telecoms Risk/Reward Index 19
Market Overview 21
Market Drivers and Trends 21
Mobile 22
Wireline Voice and Broadband 27
Pay TV/Convergence 29
Regulatory Development 31
Regulatory Overview 31
Table: Hong Kong Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities 32
Spectrum Release Plan (2013-2015) 33
Table: Hong Kong Spectrum Release Plan For 2013-2015 34
Regulatory Developments 35
Competitive Landscape 38
Table: Key Players - Hong Kong Telecoms Market 38
Table: Operator Revenues (USDmn) 38
Table: Hong Kong Mobile Market Overview 39
Table: CSL 39
Table: Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (3 Hong Kong) 40
Table: SmarTone Hong Kong 41
Table: PCCW Mobile 42
Company Profiles 44
CSL 44
Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (HTHKH) 47
PCCW 52
SmarTone Telecommunications 57
Demographic Forecast 60
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Hong Kong 1990-2025) 61
Table: Key Population Ratios (Hong Kong 1990-2025) 61
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Hong Kong 1990-2025) 62
Table: Population By Age Group (Hong Kong 1990-2025) 62
Table: Population By Age Group % (Hong Kong 1990-2025) 63
Glossary 65
Table: Glossary Of Terms 65
Methodology 67
Industry Forecast Methodology 67
Sources 69
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 69
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 70
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 71

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