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  4. > Australia Mining Report Q3 2016

Australia Mining Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 111 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Gold, copper and bauxite will emerge as the Australian mining industry's production growthbright spots during 2016-2020. Iron ore and coal output growth will slow more markedly due to continuedprice weakness.Although Australia will remain one of the world's largest mineral producers, growth will slow across theboard due to continued mineral price weakness. The Australian mining sector will be particularly affectedby China's economic slowdown, as the country accounts for almost 80.0% of the country's iron ore exports.We expect Australia's mining industry value to fall to USD94bn in 2016, down from USD106bn in 2015.We forecast Australia's mining industry value growth to pick up hereafter, reaching USD112.6bn in 2020.The potential return of La Niña this year poses downside risks to coal and iron ore production forecasts.

Table Of Contents

Australia Mining Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Australia Mining Industry Value 7
Latest Developments and Structural Trends 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Bauxite: Growth To Accelerate 11
Latest Developments 11
Table: Australia - Bauxite Production Forecast 11
Table: Australia - Select Bauxite Projects 11
Structural Trends 13
Coal: Bleak Outlook Ahead 16
Latest Developments 16
Table: Coal Production Forecast (Australia 2012-2020) 16
Table: Australia: Select Coal Projects 16
Structural Trends 18
Copper: Strong Growth Despite Weak Prices 25
Latest Developments 25
Table: Copper Production Forecast (Australia 2012-2020) 25
Table: Australia - Select Copper Projects 26
Structural Trends 27
Gold: Strong Growth Ahead 30
Latest Developments 30
Table: Gold Production Forecast (Australia 2012-2020) 30
Table: Australia - Largest Gold Mining Projects By Volume 30
Structural Trends 31
Iron Ore: Major Players To Drive Production Growth 33
Latest Developments 33
Table: Australia Iron Ore Production Forecast 33
Table: Australia - New Iron Ore Projects 33
Structural Trends 35
Lead: Growth To Stagnate 39
Latest Developments 39
Table: Lead Production Forecast (Australia 2012-2020) 39
Table: Australia Selected Lead Projects 39
Structural Trends 40
Nickel: IGO To Drive Production 43
Latest Developments 43
Table: Nickel Production Forecast (Australia 2012-2020) 43
Table: Australia - Select Nickel Projects 44
Structural Trends 44
Tin: Metals X To Dominate 47
Latest Developments 47
Table: Tin Production Forecast (Australia 2012-2020) 47
Table: Australia - Tin Mining Projects 48
Structural Trends 48
Zinc: No Recovery Ahead 50
Latest Developments 50
Table: Zinc Production Forecast (Australia 2012-2020) 50
Table: Australia Selected Zinc Projects 50
Structural Trends 51
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 53
Australia Risk/Reward Index 53
Rewards 53
Industry Rewards 53
Country Rewards 53
Risks 53
Industry Risks 53
Country Risks 54
Asia Risk/Reward Index 55
Key Takeaways 55
Latest Revisions 56
Table: Asia - Mining Risk/Reward Index 57
Regulatory Development 58
Key Regulation Facts 58
Trade and Investment Risk Analysis 59
Table: Australia - Mineral Taxes 62
Commodities Forecast 63
Commodities Outlook 63
Table: BMI Commodities Price Forecasts 63
Competitive Landscape 64
Iron Ore Majors To Outperform 64
Table: Financial Data For Key Mining Firms Listed In Australia 65
Company Profile 68
Global Company Strategy - Rio Tinto 68
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts 70
Company Analysis 70
Table: Rio Tinto - Key Projects 76
Table: Rio Tinto - Key Financial Data 77
Global Company Strategy - Glencore 78
Table: Selected Commodities - Price Forecasts 80
Company Analysis 80
Table: Glencore - Key Projects 84
Table: Glencore - Key Financial Data 86
Global Company Strategy - MMG Limited - Q3 2016 87
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts 89
Table: MMG Limited - Key Financial Data 93
BHP Billiton - Q3 2016 94
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts 96
Latest Financial Results 98
Table: BHP Billiton - Key Financial Data 101
Regional Overview 102
Asia Overview 102
Slowing Iron Ore Production 102
Indian Coal Consumption To Outperform 103
China and India To Lead In Outbound Investment 104
Indonesian Ban Moderation Ahead 105
Chinese Coal and Steel Sectors To Consolidate Slowly 107
Methodology 108
Industry Forecast Methodology 108
Sources 109
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 110
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 111

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