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  4. > United Kingdom Autos Report Q3 2016

United Kingdom Autos Report Q3 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 48 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The UK's decision to exit the EU will lead to passenger car demand in 2016 and 2017 throughits negative impact on consumer and business confidence by raising economic uncertainty and throughvehicle price inflation created by the resulting depreciation in the pound.

Key Views

- Prior to the UK's decision to exit the EU, the passenger car market had already become overheated withan overreliance on credit, especially PCP financing, as well as falling dealership profitability. The exitwill bring these problems to a head in 2016 and 2017.

- Vehicle production to gain from export growth to recovering EU region over the next two years withlarge capacity ramp ups at Nissan and Honda Motor providing a lot of the support growth.

- Past 2018, risks to our production outlook are heavily weighted to the downside as trade rules governingthe costs of exporting to the EU are renegotiated.

- Uncertainty surrounding the UK leaving the EU will force automakers to freeze, revise down, or abandonfuture investments by automakers and parts suppliers.

Table Of Contents

United Kingdom Autos Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Key Views 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (United Kingdom 2014-2020) 9
Latest Developments 9
Structural Trends 9
Passenger Cars 27
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (United Kingdom 2014-2020) 27
Latest Developments And Segment Drivers 27
Key Players 27
Table: Passenger Car Sales By Brand, Units 27
Commercial Vehicles 28
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (United Kingdom 2014-2020) 28
Latest Developments And Segment Drivers 28
Key Players 29
Table: Light Commercial Vehicles Sales By Brand, Units 29
Table: Medium Duty Truck Sales*, Units 30
Table: Heavy Duty Truck* Sales By Brand, Units 31
Table: Bus Sales* By Brand, Units 31
UK 32
Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (United Kingdom 2014-2020) 32
Latest Developments And Segment Drivers 32
Key Players 32
Table: Sales By Brand, February 32
Industry Risk/Reward Index 34
Russia Bottoming Out? 34
Stability Still Key 35
Labour Risks Still Hang Over CEE 35
Regional Overview 36
Table: Western Europe - Autos Production Investments 36
Electrification: Moving From Research To Mass-Production 38
Daimler Investment Reflects Diesel Storm 38
Sports Car Manufacturers Remain Bullish 38
Demographic Forecast 40
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 41
Table: Key Population Ratios (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 41
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 42
Table: Population By Age Group (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 42
Table: Population By Age Group % (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 43
Methodology 45
Industry Forecasts 45
Sector-Specific Methodology 46
Sources 46
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 47
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 48

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