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Ecuador Infrastructure Report Q3 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 62 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Ecuador's infrastructure development will slow considerably over the next five years as thecountry faces the widest budget deficit in decades, mainly due to the sustained low oil price. Thegovernment's push for Public Private Partnerships (PPPs) will be critical to maintaining growth in theconstruction industry, particularly in the transport sector where there is a sizeable project pipeline.

Forecasts and Latest UpdatesAfter a considerable slowdown in Ecuador's construction industry growth in 2015, we expect growth toremain moderate over the coming years. We forecast an average real growth of 3.7% in real terms between2016 and 2020. This is low compared to the 9.0% average growth rate between 2011 and 2015.

- Falling oil prices will have a detrimental impact on the government's capacity to spend in infrastructuredevelopment, particularly for projects in the planning stage. Our Oil & Gas team forecasts Brent toaverage USD60.3 per barrel over the next five years.

- High urbanisation rates have increased demand for infrastructure in Ecuador - particularly transport andutilities infrastructure, as well as housing. However, weaknesses in the country's business environmentwill continue to present risks and cap growth. Chief among these will be financing.

- Ecuador's government plans to build four PPP infrastructure projects in the country. The government isimplementing regulations and laws to drive the PPP plan, including ports and highway projects. Theschemes, which are expected to cost about USD1.5bn, could be developed on a build-operate-transferbasis.

Table Of Contents

Ecuador Infrastructure Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Ecuador 2015-2025) 7
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Ecuador 2016-2016) 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Ecuador - PPPs Critical In Light Of Low Oil Prices 11
Latest Developments 11
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Ecuador 2015-2025) 12
Structural Trends 12
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 18
Latest Developments 18
Structural Trends 19
Table: Competitiveness Of Ecuador's Infrastructure 19
Table: Key Projects: Transport 25
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 26
Latest Developments 26
Structural Trends 26
Table: Key Projects: Energy and Utilities 32
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 33
Latest Developments 33
Structural Trends 33
Table: Key Projects: Construction and Social Infrastructure 36
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 38
Ecuador - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 38
Latin America Industry Risk/Reward Index 40
Table: Latin America Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 47
Market Overview 48
Competitive Landscape 48
Table: EQS Data 48
Company Profile 50
Isolux Corsán 50
Semaica, Sevilla y Martinez 53
Methodology 55
Industry Forecast Methodology 55
Sector-Specific Methodology 56
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 60
Sector-Specific Methodology 61
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 61
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 62

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