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  4. > Mexico Telecommunications Report Q3 2016

Mexico Telecommunications Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 66 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Mexico's telecoms market has been steadily increasing its attractiveness to investors, thankspartly to regulatory efforts to increase the competitiveness of the sector. In January 2016, regulatorIFETEL formally awarded Telecomm a 30-year concession to operate a nationwide wholesaletelecommunications network. Recent regulatory moves have aimed to weaken the dominance of incumbenttelco América Móvil. The arrival of AT&T in the market and its subsequent launch of LTE services inOctober 2015 promises to create a more competitive and dynamic market. One of the main areas ofwireless competition will be LTE services, while in the wireline sector, convergence will be a core driver,especially if América Móvil convinces the regulator to let it offer pay TV.

Unbundling the incumbent'snetwork should help to generate further competition for broadband services.

- We have revised our forecasts for Mexico's mobile subscriber base, in order to take account of Q415figures reported by the leading operators. We estimate that Mexico had 110.2mn mobile subscriptions atthe end of 2015, representing a mobile subscriber penetration rate of 86.7%. We expect this to increase toalmost 90% by the end of 2016 and more than 93% by the end of our forecast in 2020.

- We have also updated our forecasts for Mexico's fixed-line and broadband subscriber markets,incorporating Q315 data from regulator Instituto Federal de Telecomunicaciones (IFETEL). We estimatethat Mexico had 21.2mn fixed lines in service at the end of 2015 (16.7% penetration), up by 5.0% on the2014 figure. We now predict that Mexico will have more than 24.7mn broadband subscribers by the endof 2020. This will equate to a penetration rate of 18.3%, up from 12.6% at the end of 2015.

- In January 2016, IFETEL formally awarded Telecomunicaciones de México (Telecomm) a 30-yearconcession to operate a nationwide wholesale telecommunications network. Telecomm will combine itsown ageing long-distance backbone with more advanced assets from utilities such as Comisión Federalde Electricidad and invest heavily to modernise and expand the pooled infrastructure over which thirdpartyproviders can deliver own-brand services to end users.

Table Of Contents

Mexico Telecommunications Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Telecoms 9
Industry Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Mexico 2013-2020) 14
Industry Risk/Reward Index 16
Latin America Risk/Reward Index 16
Table: Latin America - Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q3 2016 18
Mexico Risk/Reward Index 19
Market Overview 21
Telecoms 21
Market Drivers and Trends 21
Mobile 23
Wireline Voice And Broadband 26
Pay-TV and Convergence 28
Regulatory Development 30
Table: Mexico: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities 31
Competitive Landscape 38
Key Players 38
Table: Key Players 38
Operator Data 38
Table: America Móvil 38
Table: Movistar 39
Table: ATandT 40
Table: Grupo Televisa 40
Table: Axtel 41
Table: Maxcom 41
Table: MegaCable 42
Company Profile 43
America Móvil 43
ATandT Mexico 47
Axtel 49
Movistar 52
Demographic Forecast 55
Demographic Outlook 55
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Mexico 1990-2025) 56
Table: Key Population Ratios (Mexico 1990-2025) 56
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Mexico 1990-2025) 57
Table: Population By Age Group (Mexico 1990-2025) 57
Table: Population By Age Group % (Mexico 1990-2025) 58
Glossary 60
Table: Glossary Of Terms 60
Methodology 62
Industry Forecast Methodology 62
Sources 64
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 64
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 65
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 66

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