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  5. > Iran Agribusiness Report Q3 2016

Iran Agribusiness Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 48 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The removal of almost all sanctions on Iran's economy heralds a new era for the country. Interms of agriculture, the return of economic growth will have the most rapid and direct impact onconsumption. Production and investment in the supply chain will also benefit, but over the longer term.Therefore, production expansion will be slower than consumption growth in the coming years and Iran willremain a large and growing importer of key commodities. The lifting of sanctions will also lead to anormalisation of trade flows, which will encompass a rise in imports and the re-diversification of suppliers.

Key Forecasts

- Wheat production growth to 2019/20: 21.0% to 16.0mn tonnes. Wheat yields are expected to improveowing to the modernisation of technology, including hardier grains variants, greater access to relevantinputs and a larger area of the country benefiting from new irrigation facilities.

- Sugar consumption growth to 2020: 27.6% to 3.1mn tonnes. Sugar demand will be mainly driven bypopulation growth and the improved macroeconomic conditions following the lifting of sanctions in2016.

Table Of Contents

Iran Agribusiness Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Agribusiness 10
Industry Forecast 12
Grains Outlook 12
Latest Updates 12
Table: Iran - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook 13
Table: Risks To Outlook 13
Structural Trends 13
Table: Grains Production And Consumption (Iran 2013-2020) 16
Rice Outlook 17
Latest Updates 17
Table: Iran - Rice Production And Consumption Outlook 17
Table: Risks To Outlook 18
Structural Trends 19
Table: Rice Production and Consumption (Iran 2013-2020) 20
Sugar Outlook 21
Latest Updates 21
Table: Iran - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook 21
Table: Risks To Outlook 21
Structural Trends 22
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Iran 2012-2020) 24
Dairy Outlook 25
Latest Updates 25
Table: Iran - Milk Production And Consumption Outlook 25
Table: Risks To Outlook 26
Structural Trends 26
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (Iran 2012-2020) 28
Livestock Outlook 29
Latest Updates 29
Table: Iran - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook 30
Table: Risks To Outlook 30
Structural Trends 30
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (Iran 2012-2020) 33
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (Iran 2012-2020) 34
Industry Forecast 35
Removal Of Sanctions To Revive Food Imports 35
Table: Iran Agricultural Production and Consumption (2013-2020) 39
Commodities Price Analysis 40
Global - Global Commodities Strategy 40
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And Bmi Forecasts 40
Demographic Forecast 42
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Iran 1990-2025) 43
Table: Key Population Ratios (Iran 1990-2025) 43
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Iran 1990-2025) 44
Table: Population By Age Group (Iran 1990-2025) 44
Table: Population By Age Group % (Iran 1990-2025) 45
Methodology 47
Industry Forecast Methodology 47
Sector-Specific Methodology 48

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