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Uganda Telecommunications Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 54 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We retain a positive outlook of the Ugandan mobile market over the course of our forecastperiod out to 2020. Low mobile penetration rates and rising subscriber concentration in the urban areasdrive our mobile growth forecast. However, intense competition with nine operators active in the marketand low incomes ensure that ARPU levels will remain depressed for the foreseeable future. Uganda's planto implement infrastructure sharing regulations will have a limited impact on the telecoms market, as towersharing is already common among mobile operators and the country has very limited wireline networks.Nevertheless, we are hopeful that organic subscriber numbers will see some growth in the next five years.Looking forward, the 3G and 4G segment is poised to grow but from a very low baseline.Latest Updates & Industry Developments

- The mobile market grew to 20.7mn in 2015 for a penetration rate of 53%.

- The number of mobile money accounts in Uganda increased to 19.8mn in September 2015. The accountswere up 2.1mn from 17.9mn in September 2014.

- The number of mobile money registered users in the country is rising, while bank accounts haveremained relatively stable at 5mn, according to Bank of Uganda Deputy Governor Louis Kasekende.

- The mandatory mobile r

egistration brought into effect towards the end of 2015 has resulted in asignificant decline in the number of connections in H215. MTN lost over 2.5mn connections in Q415alone. However, signs of recovery are evident as the operator posted a growth of 695,000 new subscribersin Q116.

- MTN recently took a loan of USD114mn from a consortium of international banks to invest in a networkinfrastructure in the country over the coming years. The company claims to be committed towards rollingout data services that spread across the varied geography of the nation.

Table Of Contents

Uganda Telecommunications Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Telecoms 9
Industry Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Uganda 2013-2020) 15
Industry Risk Reward Index 16
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index 16
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index, Q3 2016 19
Uganda Risk/Reward Index 21
Market Overview 22
Market Drivers and Trends 22
Mobile 23
Wireline Voice and Broadband 26
Pay-TV/Convergence 29
Regulatory Development 31
Regulatory Overview 31
Table: Uganda's Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities 31
Table: Key Developments, 2013-2015 33
Competitive Landscape 34
Table: Table: Key Players - Uganda Telecoms Sector 34
Table: Mobile Market Overview 34
Table: MTN 34
Table: UTL 35
Table: Airtel 35
Table: Orange 36
Table: Total Internet Subscriptions 36
Table: Fixed Line Subscribers 36
Company Profile 37
MTN Uganda 37
Uganda Telecom 40
Demographic Forecast 43
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Uganda 1990-2025) 44
Table: Key Population Ratios (Uganda 1990-2025) 44
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Uganda 1990-2025) 45
Table: Population By Age Group (Uganda 1990-2025) 45
Table: Population By Age Group % (Uganda 1990-2025) 46
Glossary 48
Table: Glossary Of Terms 48
Methodology 50
Industry Forecast Methodology 50
Sources 52
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 52
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 53
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 54

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