Canada Agribusiness Report Q3 2014

  • July 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 122 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Grain production will fall in Canada in 2014/15, as logistical problems during the 2013/14 season have resulted in high stocks of wheat, corn and barley. The country's livestock industry is well placed to post strong growth in 2014/15 and beyond, while we believe that the Canadian beef and pork industries will gain the most from having signed the EU-Canada Free Trade Agreement in October 2013. The dairy management system, however, could be under pressure.

- Wheat production growth to 2017/18: 17.7% to 32.0mn tonnes. Liberalisation of the Canadian Wheat Board will increase competition between exporters and encourage farmers to boost production.
- Sugar consumption growth to 2018: -3.9% to 1.2mn tonnes. We are moderately bearish on sugar consumption in the medium term on the back of already high per capita consumption and changing eating habits towards healthier options.

Table Of Contents

Canada Agribusiness Report Q3 2014
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT . 10
Agribusiness . 10
Industry Forecast .. 12
Grains Outlook 12
Table: Wheat Production and Consumption (Canada 2013-2018) 13
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (Canada 2013-2018) 13
Table: Barley Production and Consumption (Canada 2013-2018) 13
Table: INTENTIONS OF PRINCIPAL FIELD CROP AREAS . 15
Table: Wheat Production and Consumption (Canada 2008-2013) 18
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (Canada 2008-2013) 18
Table: Barley Production and Consumption (Canada 2008-2013) 19
Sugar Outlook .. 20
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Canada 2013-2018) . 21
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Canada 2008-2013) . 23
Dairy Outlook .. 25
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (United States 2013-2018) . 26
Table: Butter Production and Consumption (United States 2013-2018) . 26
Table: Cheese Production and Consumption (United States 2013-2018) 26
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (United States 2008-2013) . 32
Table: Butter Production and Consumption (United States 2008-2013) . 32
Table: Cheese Production and Consumption (United States 2008-2013) 32
Livestock Outlook 34
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (Canada 2013-2018) . 35
Table: Pork Production and Consumption (Canada 2013-2018) 35
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (Canada 2013-2018) . 36
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (Canada 2008-2013) . 38
Table: Pork Production and Consumption (Canada 2008-2013) 38
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (Canada 2008-2013) . 38
Commodities Price Analysis 40
Monthly Grains Update . 40
Table: Selected Commodities - Performance and Forecasts . 49
Monthly Softs Update . 50
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 59
Upstream Analysis 60
Americas Machinery Outlook 60
Table: Deere and Company - Agriculture and Turf Sales Growth Forecasts By Region 61
Americas GM Outlook 67
Americas Fertiliser Outlook .. 71
Downstream Analysis . 77
Food .. 77
Food Consumption 77
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 . 78
Confectionery . 78
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 80
Canned Food . 81
Table: Canned Food Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 81
Processed Fish .. 82
Table: Fish Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 83
Frozen Fruit and Vegetables .. 85
Table: Frozen Fruit and Vegetables Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 86
Oils and Fats . 87
Table: Oils and Fats Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 87
Dairy 89
Table: Cheese Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 . 90
Drink . 91
Alcoholic Drinks 91
Table: Alcoholic Drink Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 92
Soft Drinks .. 92
Table: Soft Drinks Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 . 94
Hot Drinks .. 94
Table: Hot Drink Value Sales - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 . 95
Mass Grocery Retail .. 97
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 99
Table: Sales Breakdown By Retail Format Type, % 99
Regional Overview . 100
Competitive Landscape .. 106
Table: Canada - Major Agribusiness Companies . 106
Company Profile .. 107
Agrium 107
Table: Agrium - Financial Results 2009-2013 . 115
Demographic Forecast 116
Demographic Outlook . 116
Table: Canada's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) . 117
Table: Canada's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) . 118
Table: Canada's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 . 119
Table: Canada's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 . 119
Methodology .. 120
Industry Forecast Methodology .. 120
Sector-Specific Methodology 121

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