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  4. > Namibia Mining Report Q3 2016

Namibia Mining Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 48 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Namibia is one of the smaller markets we monitor with the sub-Saharan mining landscape;however, the country is one of the more attractive from an investment standpoint. The country hassubstantial diamond deposits, which have yet to receive the level of attention of those in surroundingcountries such as Botswana and South Africa. Uranium mining is another important growth market, thougha weak price environment has stunted output in recent years. We expected production to grow at a rapidpace as a series of high-profile projects come online, and the country is tipped to become the world's thirdlargesturanium producer by the end of the forecast period.

Latest Forecasts And Developments

- According to the Chamber of Statistics, in 2015, Namibia's non-diamond mining sector surpasseddiamond mining as the larger contributor to overall mining revenues and the country's foreign exchangeearnings. Total non-diamond mining contributed NAD13.8bn over the year, compared with earnings ofNAD11.5bn from diamond mining. In May 2016, De Beers announced the signing of a 10-year roughdiamond supply agreement with Namibia's government as part of the company's investment in theNamibian Diamond Corporation (Namdeb) in which it owns a 50% stake. The contract is expected tolead to significant growth in diamond production and sales over the next few years.

- In April 2016, Australia's Bannerman Resources, a uranium mining company with operations inNamibia, said it had no plans to delist from the Namibian Stock Exchange despite having recentlydelisted from Toronto's stock market.

- We forecast Namibia's diamond production to grow by 3.8% in 2016, having contracted by an estimated5.4% in 2015 due to falling prices. We forecast output growth to average 3.3% a year over 2017-2020 toreach 1.87mn carats.

- In terms of uranium mining, we forecast production we forecast output to grow by 23.6% in 2016 toreach 3,700 tonnes (kt), having slipped below 3kt in 2015. Growth should accelerate in 2017, withproduction reaching 8.7ktpa at the end of the forecast period in 2020.

Table Of Contents

Namibia Mining Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Namibia - Mining Industry Value 7
Latest Forecasts And Developments 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Uranium: Hopeful Of A Return To Growth 10
Latest Developments 10
Table: Uranium Production (Namibia 2012-2020) 10
Structural Trends 11
Table: Namibia - Uranium Mining And Exploration Projects 13
Diamonds: De Beer's Betting On Industry's Potential 14
Latest Developments 14
Table: Diamond Production (Namibia 2012-2020) 14
Table: Namibia - Diamond Exploration Projects 16
Industry Risk/Reward Index 17
Namibia Risk/Reward Index 17
Rewards 17
Risks 17
Africa - Risk/Reward Index 18
Key Takeaways 18
Latest Revisions 19
Table: Africa - Mining Risk/Reward Index 20
Regulatory Development 21
Commodities Forecast 23
Commodities Outlook 23
Table: BMI Commodities Price Forecasts 23
Competitive Landscape 24
Table: Africa - Largest Listed Mining Companies 25
Company Profile 27
Namdeb 27
Vedanta Resources 29
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts 31
Latest Financial Results 33
Company Strategy 34
Table: Vedanta Resources - Key Financial Data 36
Regional Overview 37
Sub-Saharan Africa Overview 37
Table: SSA - Government Involvement In Mining Sector 43
Methodology 45
Industry Forecast Methodology 45
Sources 46
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 47
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 48

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