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Tanzania Mining Report Q3 2014

  • July 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 72 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates
BMI View:
Tanzania's mining industry will experience stagnation over our forecast period to 2018. This will largely be a result of minimal gold production growth. Although gold is the current mainstay of the sector, there are plans to diversify into nickel, coal and uranium production in the long term. The mining industry is relatively small in terms of value, but its importance is highlighted by the fact that mining earns a significant share of the country's export revenues. Major foreign investors in Tanzania's mining sector include African Barrick Gold and AngloGold Ashanti.

Tanzania is home to significant deposits of coal, cobalt, copper, diamonds, gold, nickel, silver and uranium. The country has long been a producer of gold (and is currently Africa's fourth-largest producer) and diamonds. In the long term we also expect coal, nickel and uranium production to become sub-sectors of Tanzania's mining sector. However, over our forecast period to 2018, weak commodity prices will precipitate stagnant gold production growth and are likely to delay potential new projects.

Table Of Contents

Tanzania Mining Report Q3 2014
BMI Industry View . 7
Table: Tanzania - Mining Projects . 8
SWOT . 9
Industry Forecast 10
Gold: Stagnation To Take Hold .... 10
Table: Gold Production Forecast (Tanzania 2010-2018) . 13
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 14
Risk/Reward Ratings .. 14
Botswana On Top 15
Table: Africa - Mining Risk/Reward Ratings . . 16
South Africa: Still Ranking Highly .... 16
Lower Gold Prices Reduce Rewards . 17
Risk/Reward Ratings .. 19
Rewards .. 19
Industry Rewards 19
Country Rewards 19
Risks .. 20
Industry Risks 20
Country Risks 20
Table: Mining Industry Forecasts (Tanzania 2010-2018) . 21
Regulatory Development ... 22
Tax Regime ... 23
Corruption Concerns To Continue .... 24
Table: Political Overview . 25
Table: Africa - Regulatory Outlook 25
Commodities Forecast . 27
Commodity Strategy ... 27
Iron Ore: Not Much Respite In Sight . 27
Steel: Production Rationalisation Too Slow To Provide Price Upside .. 29
Aluminium: Further Price Rally Unlikely 30
Lead: Ripe For A H214 Boost 31
Copper: Consensus Moving Our Way .... 32
Nickel: Price Surge To Abate Further .... 33
Tin: In A Sweet Spot .. 34
Zinc: Bullish Short-Term Picture . 35
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 37
Competitive Landscape 38
Table: Tanzania - Main Mining Companies' Performance 39
Company Profile .. 40
Barrick Gold .. 40
Company Strategy .... 41
Latest Financial Results .. 42
Financial Data ... 43
Table: Barrick - Key Financial Data . 43
Address Details .. 44
Regional Overview ... 45
Mining - Africa Overview .. 45
Key Opportunities .... 45
1. West Africa To Become Focal Point Of Growth ... 45
2. Asian Investment Undeterred By Cooling Boom ... 47
3. Coal Exports Set To Surge In The South ... 48
Key Challenges ... 49
1. Sluggish Infrastructure Improvements To Weigh On Growth . 49
2. Gold Price Weakness Portends Pain ... 50
3. Divergent Regulatory Trends To Play Out 51
Table: Africa - Key Mining Regulatory Developments . 52
Global Industry Overview ... 54
Challenges .... 54
Table: Mining - Select MandA Deals 58
Cause For Optimism .. 61
Methodology ... 68
Industry Forecast Methodology .. 68
Sources ... 69
Risk/Reward Rating Methodology .... 70
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 72

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