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  5. > Gabon Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016

Gabon Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 81 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Gabon's oil sector remains vulnerable to the decline in global oil prices, with reports of delaysto a key upstream project on the back of uncertain economic conditions. Continued upstream investment isindicative of the market's untapped potential, but above-ground worries ranging from industrial action tounattractive fiscal terms will remain obstacles to the sustained investment necessary to reverse decliningreserves and output.

The main trends and developments we highlight for Gabon's oil and gas sector are as follows:

- Gabon rejoined OPEC in June 2016, becoming the 14th and smallest member of the cartel in terms ofproduction.

- In October 2015, Gabon launched its 11th licensing round. The round offers five deepwater blocks in theGabon South basin: E12, E14, F12, F13 and G14. Bids for the 11th Gabonese deepwater Licensing roundhave now been submitted following the April 29 deadline.

- Shell reported in April 2016 that it is looking to divest its onshore assets in Gabon, worth aboutUSD700mn.

- It was reported that operator Harvest planned to drill additional wells on the Dussafu permit beforereaching a conclusion on how best to develop the block, and in August 2015 Panor Energy, a partner onthe block, took a USD32.4mn charge after it was announced the entire development would be reviewed.An FID is still awaited.

- While most upstream activity in Gabon is focused on liquids, there is some limited potential upside fromthe development of recent natural gas discoveries. There were reports Royal Dutch Shell wasconsidering a liquefied natural gas (LNG) option for development of the deepwater Leopard-1 andLeopard-2 discovery in the BCD10 license.

Table Of Contents

Gabon Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Gabon 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Upstream Exploration 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Upstream Projects 15
Table: Gabon Major Upstream Projects 15
Upstream Production - Oil 18
Latest Updates 18
Structural Trends 18
Table: Oil Production (Gabon 2014-2019) 22
Table: Oil Production (Gabon 2020-2025) 23
Upstream Production - Gas 24
Latest Updates 24
Structural Trends 24
Table: Gas Production (Gabon 2020-2025) 26
Refining 27
Latest Updates 27
Structural Trends 27
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Gabon 2014-2019) 29
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Gabon 2020-2025) 29
Refined Fuels Consumption 30
Latest Updates 30
Structural Trends 30
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Gabon 2014-2019) 34
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Gabon 2020-2025) 34
Gas Consumption 34
Latest Updates 34
Structural Trends 34
Table: Gas Consumption (Gabon 2014-2019) 36
Table: Gas Consumption (Gabon 2020-2025) 36
Trade - Oil 37
Crude Oil 37
Latest Updates 37
Latest Updates 37
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Gabon 2014-2020) 39
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Gabon 2020-2025) 39
Refined Fuels 39
Latest Updates 39
Structural Trends 39
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Gabon 2014-2019) 40
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Gabon 2020-2025) 41
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 42
Africa - Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 42
Table: BMI Africa Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 42
Above-Ground Risks Dulling Below-Ground Potential 45
Table: BMI Africa Upstream Risk/Reward Index 45
Downstream Sector Holds Limited Opportunity 48
Table: BMI Africa Downstream Risk/Reward Index 48
Gabon - Risk/Reward Index 51
Upstream Index 51
Downstream Index 51
Market Overview 52
Gabon Energy Market Overview 52
Regulatory Structure 52
Fiscal Regime 52
Table: Gabon Fiscal Regime 53
Licensing Regime 53
Table: Gabon Licensing Terms 54
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 59
Oil Refineries 59
Gas Facilities 59
Competitive Landscape 61
Competitive Landscape Summary 61
Table: Key Players - Gabon Energy Sector 62
Company Profile 63
Addax Petroleum 63
Latest Updates 63
Company Overview 63
Main Assets in Gabon 64
Table: Major Upstream Assets in Gabon 64
Regional Overview 65
Africa - Bullish Gas, Bearish Oil 65
Table: Africa Oil and Gas Production, Consumption, Refining Capacity And Trade 73
Glossary 74
Table: Glossary Of Terms 74
Methodology 76
Industry Forecast Methodology 76
Source 78
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 78
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 80
Table: Weighting 81

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