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Germany Infrastructure Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 58 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Germany's solid economic performance continues to present upside risks to our constructionindustry forecasts over 2016 and 2017, although we note a lack of investment from the government andcorporations means growth will trend lower over our 10-year forecast period. The rail infrastructure andrenewables projects remain the market's bright spots.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- This quarter we maintained our forecast that Germany's construction sector will register healthy realgrowth rates of 1.8% and 1.4% in 2016 and 2017 respectively. Our longer-term outlook also remainsstable, with the industry's annual growth rates averaging 1.3% between 2016 and 2025.

- Germany's net transport infrastructure industry's value has been contracting for four consecutive yearsnow, declining by another 1.9% y-o-y in 2015. While we forecast a strong recovery 2016, with thegrowth rate forecast at 3.1% y-o-y, the pace of expansion will decelerate gradually across our reviewperiod to 2025, averaging 1.7% growth per annum.

- In March 2016, the German government outlined its plans to spend about EUR260bn over the next 15years to upgrade its infrastructure. According to Reuters reports, around 70% of the funds will beallocated to transport infrastructure. Although the details of this plan are still being worked out, it poses astrong upside risks to our current growth projections.

- In 2015, energy and utilities industry value registered 2.6% expansion in real terms on account of strongperformance in the power plants and transmission grids segment. Over our 10-year review period to2025, we forecast the industry to register sustained, albeit slower real growth rates of 2.2% per annum.

- Germany will launch two tenders in 2017 for offshore wind capacity totalling 2.92GW, according to draftplans published by the federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy.

Table Of Contents

Germany Infrastructure Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Germany 2015-2021) 7
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Germany 2016) 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Germany - Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 11
Latest Updates 11
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Germany 2015-2025) 11
Structural Trends 12
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 17
Latest Updates 17
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Germany 2015-2025) 18
Structural Trends 18
Table: Top Five Projects By Value - Transport Infrastructure 26
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 27
Latest Updates 27
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Germany 2015-2025) 27
Structural Trends 27
Table: Top 5 By Projects By Value: Energy and Utilities 31
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 32
Latest Updates 32
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Germany 2015-2025) 32
Structural Trends 32
Table: Top Five Projects By Value - Residential and Non-Residential Building 35
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 36
Germany - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 36
Rewards 36
Risks 36
NAWE Infrastructure RRI: Outperforming On Risks And Rewards 37
Table: North America And Western Europe: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 43
Market Overview 44
Competitive Landscape 44
Table: Key Infrastructure Companies 45
Company Profile 46
Hochtief 46
RWE 48
Methodology 51
Industry Forecast Methodology 51
Sector-Specific Methodology 52
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 56
Sector-Specific Methodology 57
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 57
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 58

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