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  4. > Singapore Freight Transport Report Q3 2015

Singapore Freight Transport Report Q3 2015

  • May 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 51 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Our forecasts for growth in freight transport volumes in Singapore are positive, reflecting a broadly positive domestic and global macroeconomic environment. Singapore's role as a global transhipment hub is both a blessing and a curse, with volumes prone to declining in times of global recession, but at present we expect that the country will benefit from relatively solid demand from key markets in Europe, where falling oil prices will support consumer demand growth. That said, the growth will be fairly lacklustre, especially in terms of air freight, and there remain salient downside risks, not least a slowing Chinese economy.

A strengthening domestic outlook and continued regional growth will drive Singapore's imports and exports in 2015 and benefit the freight transport sector. However, domestic imports and exports play only a relatively small role in Singapore's logistics sector, with re-exports being much more important. The country is a major aviation and container shipping transhipment hub, and the freight transport sector is thus affected by global trends. With an estimated population of 5.4mn, Singapore's import demands in terms of volume are relatively small. However, the country is natural-resource poor and is thus heavily reliant on energy imports. The economy is well developed and has a strong consumer class, which is also a driver of imports.

Table Of Contents

Singapore Freight Transport Report Q3 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Freight Transport .. 9
Political . 10
Economic .. 11
Operational Risk . 12
Industry Forecast .. 14
Trade Forecast . 14
Table: Trade Overview (Singapore 2012-2019) 16
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Singapore 2012-2019) 16
Table: Main Import Partners . 18
Table: Main Export Partners . 18
Road Freight Forecast 19
Table: Road Freight (Singapore 2012-2019) . 21
Air Freight Forecast .. 22
Table: Air Freight (Singapore 2012-2019) . 24
Company Profile . 25
Singapore Airlines Cargo (SIA Cargo) 25
Political Outlook . 29
Domestic Politics . 29
Long-Term Political Outlook 30
Table: Political Overview 34
Oil Price Outlook 35
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-year Forecasts . 35
Table: Energy Price Forecasts, 2013-2018 35
Table: Energy Price Forecasts, 2019-2024 ( Global 2019-2024) 36
Macroeconomic Forecasts .. 38
Economic Analysis .. 38
Demographic Forecast .. 43
Demographic Outlook 43
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Singapore 1990-2025) . 44
Table: Key Population Ratios (Singapore 1990-2025) . 44
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Singapore 1990-2025) 45
Table: Population By Age Group (Singapore 1990-2025) . 45
Table: Population By Age Group % (Singapore 1990-2025) 46
Methodology . 48
Industry Forecast Methodology . 48
Sector-Specific Methodology .. 49
Sources 51

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